MGM Resorts International (MGM) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.16 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5.
MGM Resorts operates 16 domestic casino properties and two Macau casinos (via ~56% MGM China) across four segments: Las Vegas Strip Resorts, Regional Operations, MGM China, and MGM Digital. Revenue is primarily gaming plus hotel and entertainment; most domestic real estate is... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.16 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicLas Vegas Strip10-K Item 1A: 'Because a significant number of our major gaming resorts are concentrated on the Las Vegas Strip, we are subject to greater risks than a gaming company that is more geographically diversified'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.16 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $35.46. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $38.40 (+0.7% upside). Prior stop was $35.46. Stop-loss: $35.46.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
MGM Resorts International trades at a P/E of 53.3 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
31 analysts cover MGM with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $43.
What does MGM Resorts International do?MGM Resorts operates 16 domestic casino properties and two Macau casinos (via ~56% MGM China) across four segments: Las...
MGM Resorts operates 16 domestic casino properties and two Macau casinos (via ~56% MGM China) across four segments: Las Vegas Strip Resorts, Regional Operations, MGM China, and MGM Digital. Revenue is primarily gaming plus hotel and entertainment; most domestic real estate is leased under triple-net leases with 1.8B annual rent obligation.