Skip to main content
METAMeta Platforms, Inc.Buy Wait6.7·$590.80+4.20%
Open full analysis

Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $608.79 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue; Negative momentum.

Meta Platforms develops social media and technology products—Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Messenger, Threads, and Meta AI—and VR/AR hardware through Reality Labs, with 78,865 employees globally. Substantially all revenue is generated from selling advertising placements on its... Read more

$590.80+33.5% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#2 of 27 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.78%
IncomeYield0.37%Payout7.64%sustainable
Entry $608.79(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $565.23Target $761.13(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 3.9:1
Analyst target$827.32+40.0%59 analysts
$761.13our TP
$590.80price
$827.32mean
$1015

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $608.79 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.82, quality 8.7/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.6
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$1.44T
EV/EBITDA13.2
Profit Mgn32.8%
ROE32.9%
Rev Growth33.1%
Beta1.23
Dividend0.37%
Rating analysts72

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$475-19.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductadvertising revenue
    10-K Item 1: 'Currently, we generate substantially all of our revenue from selling advertising placements on our family of apps to marketers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-14Item 5.02LOW
    Directors Hock E. Tan and Tracey T. Travis notified Meta on April 8, 2026 of decision not to stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting. Both will serve until the Annual Meeting. No reason cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 3.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $556.49Resistance $642.40

Price Targets

$565
$609
$761
A.Upside+28.8%
A.R:R3.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.4%
Max %2.8%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is META stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $608.79 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.82, quality 8.7/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $761.13 (+28.8%), stop $565.23 (−4.5%), Setup A.R:R 6.3:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the META stock price target?

Take-profit target: $761.13 (+33.5% upside). Target $761.13 (+28.8%), stop $565.23 (−4.5%), Setup A.R:R 6.3:1. Stop-loss: $565.23.

What are the risks of investing in META?

Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is META overvalued or undervalued?

Meta Platforms, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.6 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about META?

72 analysts cover META with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $827.

What does Meta Platforms, Inc. do?Meta Platforms develops social media and technology products—Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Messenger, Threads, and...

Meta Platforms develops social media and technology products—Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Messenger, Threads, and Meta AI—and VR/AR hardware through Reality Labs, with 78,865 employees globally. Substantially all revenue is generated from selling advertising placements on its apps to marketers; 82% of total 2025 costs were in the Family of Apps segment and 18% in Reality Labs.

Related stocks: GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.) · GOOG (Alphabet Inc.) · APP (Applovin Corporation) · NFLX (Netflix, Inc.) · VZ (Verizon Communications Inc.)
Home Stocks META

Latest news

Latest News

Investor's Business Daily4d agoCONCERN
Seeking Alpha2d agoCONCERN
Benzinga12h agoCONCERN
Benzinga12h agoCONCERN
Fortune47d ago
Seeking Alpha47d ago
Barron's47d ago
Investor's Business Daily47d agoEarnings
Benzinga47d ago
Investor's Business Daily47d agoEarnings
TipRanks47d ago
StockStory47d ago
Investing.com47d ago
Bloomberg.com47d ago
Bloomberg47d ago
Yahoo Finance47d ago
Reuters47d agoLegal
Investor's Business Daily47d agoEarnings
CNBC47d agoEarnings
Fortune48d ago
Loading more...