Skip to main content
GOOGAlphabet Inc.Buy Wait6.2·$369.13+3.06%
Open full analysis

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Wait for pullback to $305.65. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $369.13. Engine's entry $305.65 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: online advertising (70.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Alphabet operates Google Services (Search, YouTube, Android, advertising) and Google Cloud (infrastructure, AI, Workspace), plus early-stage Other Bets including Waymo; 190,820 employees as of Dec 31, 2025. Revenue is primarily digital advertising (>70% of 2025 revenues) through... Read more

$369.13+9.8% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#7 of 27 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield0.64%
IncomeYield0.25%Payout6.41%sustainable
Entry $305.65(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $283.13Target $396.15(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1Setup A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$409.00+10.8%14 analysts
$396.15our TP
$369.13price
$409.00mean
$195
$475

Wait for pullback to $305.65. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $369.13. Engine's entry $305.65 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: online advertising (70.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.41, quality 8.3/10, growth 8.9/10). Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: online advertising (70.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.3
P/E (Fwd)24.7
Mkt Cap$4.37T
EV/EBITDA26.7
Profit Mgn37.9%
ROE38.9%
Rev Growth21.8%
Beta1.24
Dividend0.25%
Rating analysts70

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C4.33bearish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$318-14.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductonline advertising70%
    10-K Item 1A: 'We generated more than 70% of total revenues from online advertising in 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicinternational revenues52%
    10-K Item 1A: 'International revenues accounted for approximately 52% of consolidated revenues in 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $343.63Resistance $404.23

Price Targets

$283
$306
$396
A.Upside+7.3%
A.R:R-0.5:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.6% upside)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GOOG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $305.65. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $369.13. Engine's entry $305.65 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: online advertising (70.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.41, quality 8.3/10, growth 8.9/10). Target $396.15 (+7.3%), stop $283.13 (−30.4%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GOOG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $396.15 (+9.8% upside). Target $396.15 (+7.3%), stop $283.13 (−30.4%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $283.13.

What are the risks of investing in GOOG?

Concentration risk — Product: online advertising (70.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.

Is GOOG overvalued or undervalued?

Alphabet Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.3 (forward 24.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about GOOG?

70 analysts cover GOOG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $409.

What does Alphabet Inc. do?Alphabet operates Google Services (Search, YouTube, Android, advertising) and Google Cloud (infrastructure, AI,...

Alphabet operates Google Services (Search, YouTube, Android, advertising) and Google Cloud (infrastructure, AI, Workspace), plus early-stage Other Bets including Waymo; 190,820 employees as of Dec 31, 2025. Revenue is primarily digital advertising (>70% of 2025 revenues) through Google Services, with Google Cloud as a growing subscription business; international revenues were ~52% of 2025 consolidated revenues.

Related stocks: META (Meta Platforms, Inc.) · GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.)
Home Stocks GOOG

Latest news

Latest News

The Motley Fool7d agoCONCERN
Benzinga5h agoCONCERN
Mshale19d ago
Mshale19d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha20d ago
The Motley Fool26d ago
Seeking Alpha26d agoAnalyst
Investor's Business Daily26d agoProduct
TIKR.com26d ago
Investing.com41d ago
TechCrunch12d ago
Barron's12d ago
Yahoo Finance12d ago
The Motley Fool12d ago
CNBC13d ago
Reuters13d ago
Yahoo Finance13d ago
Mitrade13d ago
Quiver Quantitative20d ago
24/7 Wall St.20d ago
Loading more...