Skip to main content
MCBSMetroCity Bankshares, Inc.Hold6.5·$35.03-2.50%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

MetroCity Bankshares combines a still-reasonable valuation, best-in-class margins, and a perfect 4-quarter earnings beat streak with an imminent catalyst, though the stock trading well above its analyst target keeps the near-term risk/reward unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Reasonable Growth Adjusted ValuationStable
  • Peer Leading MarginsStable
  • Earnings CatalystStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

MetroCity Bankshares, Inc. (MCBS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: residential real estate loans (58.3%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-collateralized loans (97.6%).

MetroCity Bankshares is a bank holding company headquartered in the Atlanta metropolitan area, operating 29 full-service branches across multi-ethnic communities in Alabama, California, Florida, Georgia, New York, New Jersey, Texas and Virginia through its Metro City Bank... Read more

$35.03+4.8% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#31 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.87%(5y avg 2.92%)Payout35.25%sustainable
Stop $32.83Target $36.71(resistance)A.R:R -2.4:1
Analyst target$35.00-0.1%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: residential real estate loans (58.3%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-collateralized loans (97.6%). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 17d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About MetroCity Bankshares, Inc.

About MetroCity Bankshares, Inc.

MetroCity Bankshares closed its $202.3 million acquisition of First IC Corporation on December 1, 2025, growing total assets to $4.77 billion, loans to $4.08 billion and deposits to $3.65 billion across 29 branches in multi-ethnic communities spanning Alabama, California, Florida, Georgia, New York, New Jersey, Texas and Virginia. Residential real estate loans made up 58.3% of the loan book, with commercial real estate loans at 38.3%.

MetroCity Bankshares earns net interest income primarily by originating non-conforming residential mortgages and owner- and non-owner-occupied commercial real estate loans, a meaningful share of which - $439.8 million in commercial real estate and $42.4 million in commercial-and-industrial balances - carry SBA or USDA guarantees that lower the bank's retained credit risk. Within its $1.56 billion commercial real estate book, hotels represent the largest named exposure at $600.3 million, or 38.5%, followed by wholesale/retail and commercial rental properties. Deposits totaled $3.65 billion, of which 75.2% were classified as core deposits and $747.8 million came from brokered sources tied to the Federal Funds Effective rate. The bank competes against national and regional banks as well as other community banks serving multi-ethnic customer bases, and it retains servicing rights on both SBA loans sold in the secondary market and non-conforming mortgages sold to investors.

Show full overview

MetroCity Bankshares' funding mix leans on brokered deposits, which totaled $747.8 million as of December 31, 2025 and are entirely tied to the Federal Funds Effective rate, layered atop $2.74 billion of deposits the bank classifies as core (75.2% of the total). Because the 10-K explicitly ties SBA lending profitability to continued federal guarantee support, any reduction in the bank's SBA Preferred Lender status or a cut to SBA guarantee levels could disproportionately affect the SBA-guaranteed share of its combined CRE and C&I SBA book.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From MetroCity Bankshares, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 24, 202617d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: residential real estate loans (58.3%)
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-collateralized loans (97.6%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.1
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn43.4%
ROE15.2%
Rev Growth44.0%
Beta0.70
Dividend2.87%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV83%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfolioresidential real estate loans58%
    10-K Item 1: 'we had $2.38 billion of residential real estate loans, representing 58.3% of our total loan portfolio held for investment'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans38%
    10-K Item 1: 'Commercial real estate loans made up $1.56 billion, or 38.3%, of our total loan portfolio held for investment at December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate-collateralized loans98%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 97.6% of our loan portfolio was comprised of loans with real estate as a primary or secondary component of collateral'
  • MEDIUMregulatorySBA loan program dependence
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our SBA lending program is dependent upon the U.S. federal government'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.4
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R -2.4=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 17d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $33.27Resistance $37.46

Price Targets

$33
$37
A.Upside+4.8%
A.R:R-2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.1% upside)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (17d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MCBS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: residential real estate loans (58.3%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-collateralized loans (97.6%). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $36.71 (+4.8%), stop $32.83 (−6.7%), A.R:R -2.4:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MCBS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.71 (+4.8% upside). Target $36.71 (+4.8%), stop $32.83 (−6.7%), A.R:R -2.4:1. Stop-loss: $32.83.

What are the risks of investing in MCBS?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: residential real estate loans (58.3%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-collateralized loans (97.6%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is MCBS overvalued or undervalued?

MetroCity Bankshares, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.1 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MCBS?

6 analysts cover MCBS with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $35.

What does MetroCity Bankshares, Inc. do?MetroCity Bankshares is a bank holding company headquartered in the Atlanta metropolitan area, operating 29...

MetroCity Bankshares is a bank holding company headquartered in the Atlanta metropolitan area, operating 29 full-service branches across multi-ethnic communities in Alabama, California, Florida, Georgia, New York, New Jersey, Texas and Virginia through its Metro City Bank subsidiary. As of December 31, 2025, following its acquisition of First IC Corporation, the company held $4.77 billion in total assets, $4.08 billion in loans and $3.65 billion in deposits, with residential real estate loans (58.3%) and commercial real estate loans (38.3%, including SBA-guaranteed loans) forming the bulk of i

Related stocks: BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · NBN (Northeast Bank) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation) · ONB (Old National Bancorp) · COFS (ChoiceOne Financial Services, I)
Home Stocks MCBS

Latest news

No recent news