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LINLinde plcBuy Wait5.8·$506.51-0.91%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Linde is a best-in-class industrial franchise with four consecutive earnings beats and operating margins of 20%, but the share price has already moved past the near-term resistance target, the forward P/E of 26.5x screens expensive relative to a PEG of 2.21, and falling volume into the breakout signals that the current setup favors trimming or standing aside rather than adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margins And QualityStable
  • Expensive Valuation Price Past TargetDeteriorating
  • Volume Distribution Into BreakoutImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Linde plc (LIN) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 1 day (2026-07-31). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $497.19. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $506.51. Engine's entry $497.19 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Linde is the largest industrial gas company worldwide and is a major technological innovator in the industrial gases industry. Its primary products in its industrial gases business are atmospheric gases (oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases) and process gases (hydrogen,... Read more

$506.51-2.9% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#19 of 41 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.99%
IncomeYield1.25%(5y avg 1.30%)Payout40.45%sustainable
Entry $497.19(support + ATR (held))Stop $477.15Target $537.24(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$548.80+8.3%25 analysts
$537.24our TP
$506.51price
$548.80mean
$400
$622

Wait for pullback to $497.19. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $506.51. Engine's entry $497.19 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.9
P/E (Fwd)26.1
Mkt Cap$236.3B
EV/EBITDA19.2
Profit Mgn20.4%
ROE18.2%
Rev Growth8.2%
Beta0.72
Dividend1.25%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV32%normal
Max Pain$650+28.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.8
Rsi
8.2
Uptrend pullback (RSI 33) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.5
Pe
3.8
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.3
Forward Pe
4.8
Ps
5.6
Forward P/E: 26.1xPEG: 2.16
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $502.10Resistance $548.20

Price Targets

$477
$497
$537
A.Upside-2.9%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.9% upside)
! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LIN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $497.19. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $506.51. Engine's entry $497.19 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $537.24 (+6.1%), stop $477.15 (−6.2%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LIN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $537.24 (-2.9% upside). Target $537.24 (+6.1%), stop $477.15 (−6.2%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $477.15.

What are the risks of investing in LIN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is LIN overvalued or undervalued?

Linde plc trades at a P/E of 33.9 (forward 26.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about LIN?

29 analysts cover LIN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $549.

What does Linde plc do?Linde is the largest industrial gas company worldwide and is a major technological innovator in the industrial gases...

Linde is the largest industrial gas company worldwide and is a major technological innovator in the industrial gases industry. Its primary products in its industrial gases business are atmospheric gases (oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases) and process gases (hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, electronic gases, specialty gases, and acetylene).

Related stocks: PPG (PPG Industries, Inc.) · ECL (Ecolab Inc.) · APD (Air Products and Chemicals, Inc) · SHW (Sherwin-Williams Company (The))
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