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LINLinde plcBuy Wait5.4·$508.16
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Linde is a best-in-class industrial franchise with four consecutive earnings beats and operating margins of 20%, but the share price has already moved past the near-term resistance target, the forward P/E of 26.5x screens expensive relative to a PEG of 2.21, and falling volume into the breakout signals that the current setup favors trimming or standing aside rather than adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margins And Quality→Stable
  • Expensive Valuation Price Past Target↑Improving
  • Volume Distribution Into Breakout↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Linde plc (LIN) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-10-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $501.25. Price sits above the model's entry target of $501.25; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Linde is the largest industrial gas company worldwide and is a major technological innovator in the industrial gases industry. Its primary products in its industrial gases business are atmospheric gases (oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases) and process gases (hydrogen,... Read more

$508.16-3.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#31 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.78%
IncomeYield1.26%(5y avg 1.29%)Payout40.03%sustainable
Entry $501.25(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $487.33Analyst target $490.73(reached)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst consensus$545.26+7.3%27 analysts
$508.16price
$545.26mean
$400
$591

Wait for pullback to $501.25. Price sits above the model's entry target of $501.25; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Overbought (RSI 84)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.8
P/E (Fwd)26.0
Mkt Cap$234.3B
EV/EBITDA18.7
Profit Mgn20.4%
ROE18.4%
Rev Growth9.3%
Beta0.71
Dividend1.26%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV36%normal
Max Pain$300-41.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
2.1
52w Position
8.6
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
84 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $462.37Resistance $512.49

Price Targets

A.Upside-3.4%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.4% upside)
! Earnings today - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LIN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $501.25. Price sits above the model's entry target of $501.25; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Analyst target $490.73 reached (−3.4%), stop $487.33 (−4.3%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LIN stock price target?

Analyst target $490.73 reached (−3.4% from $508.16); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $490.73 reached (−3.4%), stop $487.33 (−4.3%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $487.33.

What are the risks of investing in LIN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Overbought (RSI 84).

Is LIN overvalued or undervalued?

Linde plc trades at a P/E of 32.8 (forward 26.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about LIN?

33 analysts cover LIN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $545.

What does Linde plc do?Linde is the largest industrial gas company worldwide and is a major technological innovator in the industrial gases...

Linde is the largest industrial gas company worldwide and is a major technological innovator in the industrial gases industry. Its primary products in its industrial gases business are atmospheric gases (oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases) and process gases (hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, electronic gases, specialty gases, and acetylene).

Related stocks: PPG (PPG Industries, Inc.) · ECL (Ecolab Inc.) · SHW (Sherwin-Williams Company (The)) · APD (Air Products and Chemicals, Inc)
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