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ECLEcolab Inc.Hold5.3·$265.41+0.68%
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Ecolab Inc. (ECL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $265.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Below 200-day MA.

Ecolab is a global provider of water, hygiene, and infection prevention solutions with $16 billion in annual sales across four segments—Global Water, Global Institutional & Specialty, Global Pest Elimination, and Global Life Sciences—serving customers in 170+ countries. No... Read more

$265.41+7.5% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#19 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.12%
IncomeYield1.10%(5y avg 1.06%)Payout37.35%sustainable
Stop $251.17Target $285.43(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$317.14+19.5%21 analysts
$285.43our TP
$265.41price
$317.14mean
$345

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $265.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.5%
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.0
P/E (Fwd)27.6
Mkt Cap$74.7B
EV/EBITDA20.7
Profit Mgn12.8%
ROE22.4%
Rev Growth10.0%
Beta0.91
Dividend1.10%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.36bullish
IV57%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductwarewashing products13%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales of warewashing products were approximately 13% of consolidated net sales in 2025 and 12% in 2024 and 2023.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOW
    Effective April 1, 2026: Christophe Beck appointed President (retains CEO/Chairman); Darrell R. Brown appointed Co-COO Global Markets; Gregory B. Cook appointed Co-COO Global Businesses. All are existing executives in expanded roles. No departures cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-23Item 5.02LOW
    Director Victoria J. Reich informed the Board she will not stand for re-election at the May 7, 2026 annual meeting. Decision not the result of any disagreement with the Company. Will continue serving until annual meeting.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-10Item 2.05MEDIUM
    Expansion of One Ecolab restructuring initiative announced. Total restructuring costs anticipated at $334M ($261M after tax) and special charges of $91M ($71M after tax) by end of 2027, primarily cash severance for team realignment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.7
Support Resistance
1.0
Gap
5.0
52w Position
7.2
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spot8K SERIOUS 2.05Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $243.15Resistance $268.00

Price Targets

$251
$285
A.Upside+7.5%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! 8K_SERIOUS:2.05

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ECL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $265.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $285.43 (+7.5%), stop $251.17 (−5.7%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ECL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $285.43 (+7.5% upside). Target $285.43 (+7.5%), stop $251.17 (−5.7%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $251.17.

What are the risks of investing in ECL?

Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Below 200-day MA.

Is ECL overvalued or undervalued?

Ecolab Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.0 (forward 27.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ECL?

32 analysts cover ECL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $317.

What does Ecolab Inc. do?Ecolab is a global provider of water, hygiene, and infection prevention solutions with $16 billion in annual sales...

Ecolab is a global provider of water, hygiene, and infection prevention solutions with $16 billion in annual sales across four segments—Global Water, Global Institutional & Specialty, Global Pest Elimination, and Global Life Sciences—serving customers in 170+ countries. No single customer constitutes 10%+ of revenues, but warewashing products comprised approximately 13% of 2025 consolidated net sales.

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