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APDAir Products and Chemicals, IncSell5.2·$282.90+0.45%
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Air Products and Chemicals, Inc (APD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. At $282.90, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (60.0%); Concentration risk — Product: regional industrial gases.

Air Products and Chemicals produces industrial gases — oxygen, nitrogen, hydrogen, helium, argon — serving refining, chemicals, metals, and electronics industries across approximately 50 countries. Regional industrial gases constituted over 90% of fiscal 2025 sales;... Read more

$282.90+4.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#24 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-5.61%
IncomeYield2.57%(5y avg 2.43%)Payout75.66%
Stop $270.03Target $295.07(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$327.86+15.9%21 analysts
$295.07our TP
$282.90price
$327.86mean
$360

Sell if holding. At $282.90, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (60.0%); Concentration risk — Product: regional industrial gases. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Air Products and Chemicals, Inc

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (60.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: regional industrial gases
Thin upside margin: 4.4%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.7
P/E (Fwd)19.8
Mkt Cap$62.7B
EV/EBITDA21.3
Profit Mgn16.9%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta0.75
Dividend2.57%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.27bearish
IV55%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicoutside the United States60%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 60% of our sales were derived from customers outside the United States'
  • HIGHProductregional industrial gases
    10-K Item 1: 'Overall regional industrial gases sales constituted over 90% of consolidated sales in fiscal years 2025, 2024, and 2023'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $274.37Resistance $296.68

Price Targets

$270
$295
A.Upside+4.3%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $282.90, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (60.0%); Concentration risk — Product: regional industrial gases. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $270.03. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $295.07 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $270.03. Stop-loss: $270.03.

What are the risks of investing in APD?

Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (60.0%); Concentration risk — Product: regional industrial gases; Thin upside margin: 4.4%.

Is APD overvalued or undervalued?

Air Products and Chemicals, Inc trades at a P/E of 29.7 (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about APD?

27 analysts cover APD with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $328.

What does Air Products and Chemicals, Inc do?Air Products and Chemicals produces industrial gases — oxygen, nitrogen, hydrogen, helium, argon — serving refining,...

Air Products and Chemicals produces industrial gases — oxygen, nitrogen, hydrogen, helium, argon — serving refining, chemicals, metals, and electronics industries across approximately 50 countries. Regional industrial gases constituted over 90% of fiscal 2025 sales; approximately 60% of revenue came from customers outside the U.S., secured under 15- to 20-year on-site supply contracts.

Related stocks: SQM (Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A.) · ALB (Albemarle Corporation) · AXTA (Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.) · ESI (Element Solutions Inc.) · RPM (RPM International Inc.)
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