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LBRTLiberty Energy Inc.Sell4.5·$28.03-0.71%
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Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.03: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Liberty Energy provides hydraulic fracturing completions services and related technologies to onshore oil and gas E&P companies across North American shale basins, operating approximately 40 active fleets as of Dec 31, 2025. It also owns Liberty Power Innovations (distributed... Read more

$28.03+5.3% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#26 of 30 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-4.14%
IncomeYield1.24%Payout37.36%sustainable
Stop $26.50Target $29.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$33.92+21.0%13 analysts
$29.51our TP
$28.03price
$33.92mean
$21
$40

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.03: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11

Recent Developments — Liberty Energy Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Cyclical trap - fwd PE 77x vs trail 31x (2.5x)
Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -53.7%), High leverage (D/E 3.2), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.06% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.0
P/E (Fwd)77.2
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth4.5%
Beta0.53
Dividend1.24%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV76%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.1
Roa
0.9
Net Margin
1.9
Roe
2.6
Moat
3.8
Current Ratio
7.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -127% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9Quality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.7
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 29)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
4.0
Growth Rank
4.8
Value Rank
6.3
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.32Resistance $34.38

Price Targets

$27
$30
A.Upside+5.3%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 77x vs trail 31x (2.5x)
! Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -53.7%), High leverage (D/E 3.2), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.06% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LBRT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.03: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $26.50. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LBRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.51 (+5.3% upside). Prior stop was $26.50. Stop-loss: $26.50.

What are the risks of investing in LBRT?

Cyclical trap - fwd PE 77x vs trail 31x (2.5x); Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -53.7%), High leverage (D/E 3.2), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.06% of cap).

Is LBRT overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.0 (forward 77.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LBRT?

18 analysts cover LBRT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Liberty Energy Inc. do?Liberty Energy provides hydraulic fracturing completions services and related technologies to onshore oil and gas E&P...

Liberty Energy provides hydraulic fracturing completions services and related technologies to onshore oil and gas E&P companies across North American shale basins, operating approximately 40 active fleets as of Dec 31, 2025. It also owns Liberty Power Innovations (distributed power and energy storage) and two Permian Basin sand mines.

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