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LAZLazard, Inc.Hold6.1·$41.36-12.56%
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Lazard, Inc. (LAZ) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Lazard is a global financial advisory and asset management firm operating two segments: Financial Advisory (M&A, restructuring, sovereign and geopolitical advisory) and Asset Management (equity, fixed income, alternatives). As of Dec 31, 2025 it had 3,309 employees and managed... Read more

$41.36+10.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#11 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.23%(5y avg 4.83%)Payout79.37%
Stop $39.38Target $45.78(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$52.63+27.2%8 analysts
$45.78our TP
$41.36price
$52.63mean
$62

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 35, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.8
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn8.7%
ROE34.3%
Rev Growth15.4%
Beta1.41
Dividend4.23%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.66bullish
IV70%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten AM clients24%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten clients accounted for 24% of our total assets under management ("AUM") as of December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Vol Acceleration
1.3
Rsi
3.5
Volume
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.5%/30d — confirmed downtrendVolume surge (3.7x avg) on selloff
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $40.60Resistance $50.58

Price Targets

$39
$46
A.Upside+10.7%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LAZ stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 35, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $45.78 (+10.7%), stop $39.38 (−5.0%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LAZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.78 (+10.7% upside). Target $45.78 (+10.7%), stop $39.38 (−5.0%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $39.38.

What are the risks of investing in LAZ?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is LAZ overvalued or undervalued?

Lazard, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.8 (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LAZ?

15 analysts cover LAZ with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Lazard, Inc. do?Lazard is a global financial advisory and asset management firm operating two segments: Financial Advisory (M&A,...

Lazard is a global financial advisory and asset management firm operating two segments: Financial Advisory (M&A, restructuring, sovereign and geopolitical advisory) and Asset Management (equity, fixed income, alternatives). As of Dec 31, 2025 it had 3,309 employees and managed AUM with ~67% in foreign-currency-denominated assets.

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