Skip to main content
AFYAAfya LimitedBuy Wait5.6·$14.10-3.23%
Open full analysis

Afya Limited (AFYA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Wait for pullback to $13.69. At $14.10 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $13.69 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Weak growth.

Afya Limited operates as a medical education group in Brazil. The company operates in three segments: Undergraduate, Continuing Education, and Medical Practice Solutions. The Undergraduate segment offers educational services through undergraduate courses related to medical... Read more

$14.10+7.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#7 of 15 Education & Training Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield40.73%
IncomeYield4.65%Payout41.51%sustainable
Entry $13.69(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $12.83Target $14.69(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1Setup A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$16.89+19.8%9 analysts
$14.69our TP
$14.10price
$16.89mean
$21

Wait for pullback to $13.69. At $14.10 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $13.69 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.9 < 4.5 minimum; R/R 0.7x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=consumer defensive 0/10). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.2%
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.8
P/E (Fwd)7.0
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA2.1
Profit Mgn20.1%
ROE16.8%
Rev Growth8.2%
Beta0.36
Dividend4.65%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.44bullish
IV161%elevated
Max Pain$3-82.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.6
Revenue Growth
4.5

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume
4.7
Macd
7.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Consumer Defensive 0/10Range BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.57Resistance $14.79

Price Targets

$13
$14
$15
A.Upside+4.2%
A.R:R0.7:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.6%
Max %3.1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum 3.9 < 4.5 minimum
! R/R 0.7x at spot < 1.5 minimum
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AFYA stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $13.69. At $14.10 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $13.69 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.9 < 4.5 minimum; R/R 0.7x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Target $14.69 (+4.2%), stop $12.83 (−9.9%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AFYA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.69 (+7.5% upside). Target $14.69 (+4.2%), stop $12.83 (−9.9%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $12.83.

What are the risks of investing in AFYA?

Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is AFYA overvalued or undervalued?

Afya Limited trades at a P/E of 8.8 (forward 7.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AFYA?

13 analysts cover AFYA with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Afya Limited do?Afya Limited operates as a medical education group in Brazil. The company operates in three segments: Undergraduate,...

Afya Limited operates as a medical education group in Brazil. The company operates in three segments: Undergraduate, Continuing Education, and Medical Practice Solutions. The Undergraduate segment offers educational services through undergraduate courses related to medical school, health sciences, and other non-health undergraduate programs, including medicine, dentistry, nursing, radiology, psychology, pharmacy, physical education, physiotherapy, nutrition, biomedicine, business administration, accounting, law, civil and industrial engineering, and pedagogy. The Continuing Education segment provides medical education, including residency preparation programs, specialization test preparation, graduate courses in medicine, and digital and in-person professional development for physicians and medical students. The Medical Practice Solutions segment offers clinical decision support platforms, medical practice management software, healthcare financial services, and digital healthcare ecosystem solutions, such as electronic medical records, practice management tools, telemedicine, digital prescriptions, and doctor-patient relationship platforms. This segment also provides a subscription-based mobile app and website portal that focuses on assisting health professionals and students with clinical decision-making through tools, such as medical calculators, charts, and updated content, as well as prescriptions, clinical scores, medical procedures and laboratory exams, and others. The company also offers educational health and medical imaging; and other programs to lifelong medical learners enrolled across its distribution network, as well as to third-party medical schools. In addition, it offers printed and digital content, as well as an online medical education platform and physicians, healthcare professionals and students. Afya Limited was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Belo Horizonte, Brazil.

Related stocks: TAL (TAL Education Group) · EDU (New Oriental Education & Techno) · PRDO (Perdoceo Education Corporation) · LAUR (Laureate Education, Inc.) · LOPE (Grand Canyon Education, Inc.)
Home Stocks AFYA

Latest news

Latest News

Thelegaladvocate.com19d ago
Thelegaladvocate.com20d ago
Thelegaladvocate.com20d ago
Yahoo Finance26d ago
The Globe and Mail12d ago
MarketBeat49d agoAnalyst
Thelegaladvocate.com20d ago
Thelegaladvocate.com21d ago
MarketBeat46d agoAnalyst
Moomoo46d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat47d ago
Finance.yahoo.com18d ago
Yahoo Finance18d ago
MarketBeat18d ago
TradingView4d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance4d ago
Investing.com4d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance39d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail39d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com39d ago
Loading more...