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KRYSKrystal Biotech, Inc.Hold6.5·$323.38+1.70%
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Krystal Biotech, Inc. (KRYS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $323.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.5% away).

Krystal Biotech is a commercial-stage biotech that develops, manufactures, and commercializes HSV-1-based gene therapies; its lead product VYJUVEK is approved in the US, EU, and Japan for dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa (DEB), with $730.3M in cumulative net product revenue... Read more

$323.38+11.7% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#11 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.47%
Entry $290.77(support + ATR)Stop $276.52Target $324.86(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1Setup A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$322.78-0.2%9 analysts
$324.86our TP
$323.38price
$322.78mean
$241
$399

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $323.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $323.35 has reached target $324.86. No upside to wait for. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.5% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.6
P/E (Fwd)31.5
Mkt Cap$9.4B
EV/EBITDA47.4
Profit Mgn53.9%
ROE19.9%
Rev Growth31.9%
Beta0.53
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.70neutral
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$360+11.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.9
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward Pe
3.7
Peg Ratio
9.4
Forward P/E: 31.5xPEG: 0.60

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.8
52w Position
9.5
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $285.07Resistance $331.49

Price Targets

$277
$291
$325
A.Upside+0.5%
A.R:R-1.1:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.2%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KRYS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $323.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $323.35 has reached target $324.86. No upside to wait for. Target $324.86 (+0.5%), stop $276.52 (−16.9%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KRYS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $324.86 (+11.7% upside). Target $324.86 (+0.5%), stop $276.52 (−16.9%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $276.52.

What are the risks of investing in KRYS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.5% away); Expensive valuation.

Is KRYS overvalued or undervalued?

Krystal Biotech, Inc. trades at a P/E of 42.6 (forward 31.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about KRYS?

18 analysts cover KRYS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $323.

What does Krystal Biotech, Inc. do?Krystal Biotech is a commercial-stage biotech that develops, manufactures, and commercializes HSV-1-based gene...

Krystal Biotech is a commercial-stage biotech that develops, manufactures, and commercializes HSV-1-based gene therapies; its lead product VYJUVEK is approved in the US, EU, and Japan for dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa (DEB), with $730.3M in cumulative net product revenue since 2023 launch. Pipeline includes KB407 (CF, Phase 1) and KB408 (AATD, Phase 1), supported by two in-house CGMP manufacturing facilities.

Related stocks: INCY (Incyte Corporation) · ARGX (argenx SE) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.) · AAPG (Ascentage Pharma Group Internat)
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