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Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. At $16.08, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States.

Newmark Group is a commercial real estate services platform generating approximately $3.3B in 2025 revenues from leasing, capital markets, GSE/FHA lending, loan servicing, property management, valuation, and occupier solutions for large institutional investors and Fortune 500... Read more

$16.08+4.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 16 Real Estate Services
Stop $14.98Target $16.82(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$19.33+20.2%6 analysts
$16.82our TP
$16.08price
$19.33mean
$21

Sell if holding. At $16.08, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val5.4Qual5.2Grw8.2Mom3.4Sent7.1Ins5.0Peer6.0Tech4.7Risk4.65.8OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States
Thin upside margin: 4.4%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.9
P/E (Fwd)7.6
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA13.8
Profit Mgn3.8%
ROE9.4%
Rev Growth15.3%
Beta1.83
Dividend0.76%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV81%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States
    10-K Item 1A: 'we derived the large majority of our total revenues on a consolidated basis for the year ended December 31, 2025 from our operations in the United States'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.7
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.6
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
7.2
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.45Resistance $16.99

Price Targets

$15
$17
A.Upside+4.6%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NMRK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $16.08, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $14.98. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NMRK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.82 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $14.98. Stop-loss: $14.98.

What are the risks of investing in NMRK?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Is NMRK overvalued or undervalued?

Newmark Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.9 (forward 7.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NMRK?

13 analysts cover NMRK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Newmark Group, Inc. do?Newmark Group is a commercial real estate services platform generating approximately $3.3B in 2025 revenues from...

Newmark Group is a commercial real estate services platform generating approximately $3.3B in 2025 revenues from leasing, capital markets, GSE/FHA lending, loan servicing, property management, valuation, and occupier solutions for large institutional investors and Fortune 500 corporations. The company operates primarily in the United States with expanding international presence; top 10 clients accounted for only 9.1% of 2025 revenue.

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