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JBIJanus International Group, Inc.Sell6.0·$5.13-1.16%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Janus International screens cheap on a forward-earnings basis with strong cash conversion and meaningful analyst-modeled upside, but a hard-blocked death cross and elevated bearish options positioning reflect multiple concerning technical factors that argue for reducing rather than adding to the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Cheap Forward Pe ValuationStable
  • Excellent Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Death Cross Hard BlockStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Janus International Group, Inc. (JBI) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.13 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Janus International Group, Inc. ("we," "us," "Group," "Janus" or the "Company"), headquartered in Temple, Georgia with eleven domestic and three international manufacturing facilities is a leading global manufacturer, supplier, and provider of turn-key self-storage, commercial,... Read more

$5.13+30.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#3 of 26 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield8.40%
Stop $4.80Target $6.70(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$7.70+50.1%5 analysts
$6.70our TP
$5.13price
$7.70mean
$9

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.13 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202629d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Analyst upside: 31%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.6
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$722M
EV/EBITDA7.9
Profit Mgn4.8%
ROE7.9%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta1.46
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.50bearish
IV38%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.5
Macd
3.3
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 29d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.95Resistance $5.74

Price Targets

$5
$7
A.Upside+30.6%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (29d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.13 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $4.80. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JBI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.70 (+30.6% upside). Prior stop was $4.80. Stop-loss: $4.80.

What are the risks of investing in JBI?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is JBI overvalued or undervalued?

Janus International Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.6 (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JBI?

9 analysts cover JBI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Janus International Group, Inc. do?Janus International Group, Inc. ("we," "us," "Group," "Janus" or the "Company"), headquartered in Temple, Georgia with...

Janus International Group, Inc. ("we," "us," "Group," "Janus" or the "Company"), headquartered in Temple, Georgia with eleven domestic and three international manufacturing facilities is a leading global manufacturer, supplier, and provider of turn-key self-storage, commercial, and industrial building solutions including: roll up and swing doors, hallway systems, single- and multi-story steel buildings, building components, relocatable storage "MASS" (Moveable Additional Storage Structures) u...

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