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IVTInvenTrust Properties Corp.Sell5.3·$30.08
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

IVT's technical setup is constructive — above all moving averages with a golden cross — and the underlying business posts 36% margins with a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, but four consecutive earnings misses averaging 58% below consensus and less than 1% upside to the nearest resistance leave the risk/reward at 0.14-to-1, making the setup unrewarding at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Persistent Earnings Underdelivery↑Improving
  • Technical Momentum At Resistance→Stable
  • Strong Underlying Business Quality→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

InvenTrust Properties Corp. (IVT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellShortModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $30.08 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

InvenTrust Properties Corp. owns 73 multi-tenant retail properties in Sun Belt markets, totaling approximately 11.6 million square feet of GLA at 95.4% economic occupancy and $20.41 ABR per square foot as of December 31, 2025. The company earns base rent from retail tenants,... Read more

$30.08+2.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#17 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.00%
IncomeYield3.32%(5y avg 2.72%)Payout513.37%
Stop $28.76Analyst target $30.89(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst consensus$35.50+18.0%8 analysts
$30.89Analyst target
$30.08price
$35.50mean
$38

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $30.08 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 103d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 9, 2027103d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive insider activity
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)83.6
P/E (Fwd)-135.1
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA18.2
Profit Mgn4.8%
ROE0.9%
Rev Growth12.6%
Beta0.86
Dividend3.32%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV98%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 37.7% of the total annualized base rental income in our retail portfolio was generated by properties located in Texas'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.6
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 103d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $29.01Resistance $31.39

Price Targets

$29
$31
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.7% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-09 (103d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IVT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $30.08 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $28.76. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IVT stock price target?

Analyst target: $30.89 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $28.76. Stop-loss: $28.76.

What are the risks of investing in IVT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is IVT overvalued or undervalued?

InvenTrust Properties Corp. trades at a P/E of 83.6 (forward -135.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IVT?

12 analysts cover IVT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $36.

What does InvenTrust Properties Corp. do?InvenTrust Properties Corp. owns 73 multi-tenant retail properties in Sun Belt markets, totaling approximately 11.6...

InvenTrust Properties Corp. owns 73 multi-tenant retail properties in Sun Belt markets, totaling approximately 11.6 million square feet of GLA at 95.4% economic occupancy and $20.41 ABR per square foot as of December 31, 2025. The company earns base rent from retail tenants, with Texas generating 37.7% of annualized base rental income and approximately 60.6% of ABR from small shop tenants.

Related stocks: NTST (NetSTREIT Corp.) · EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · BFS (Saul Centers, Inc.) · AKR (Acadia Realty Trust) · ADC (Agree Realty Corporation)
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