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IVAInventiva S.A. - American DeposSell4.7·$3.71
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Inventiva is burning cash at approximately 3,000% of revenue — an extreme rate — and its market capitalization of roughly $890 million falls below the $1 billion minimum threshold that defines the investable universe for this strategy, removing it from consideration. RSI at 18 and a falling-knife technical setup compound the risk, though the long-term moving average slope remains positive, suggesting the selloff may not yet have found a durable floor.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Cash Burn Vs Revenue→Stable
  • Below Minimum Market Cap Floor↑Improving
  • Capitulation Level Rsi Ambiguous Trend↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Inventiva S.A. - American Depos (IVA) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.71: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Inventiva S.A., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of oral small molecule therapies for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) and other diseases in France and internationally. It develops Lanifibranor, a... Read more

$3.71+2.2% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#204 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-13.25%
Stop $3.45Resistance target $3.79A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst consensus$15.20+309.7%10 analysts
$3.79Resistance target
$3.71price
$15.20mean
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.71: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 154d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Apr 1, 2027154d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $15.20 vs price $3.71 — ratio 4.1×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-5.0
Mkt Cap$876M
EV/EBITDA-5.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-989.1%
Rev Growth-76.7%
Beta1.00
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
1.5
Bollinger
1.8

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.9
Value Rank
5.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.0
Current Ratio
9.2
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -4728% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: -4805 (fail)Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9
GatesMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 154d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
61 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.82Resistance $3.87

Price Targets

$3
$4
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $15.20 vs price $3.71 — ratio 4.1×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-04-01 (154d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IVA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.71: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Prior stop was $3.45. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IVA stock price target?

Resistance target: $3.79 (+2.2% upside). Prior stop was $3.45. Stop-loss: $3.45.

What are the risks of investing in IVA?

DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $15.20 vs price $3.71 — ratio 4.1×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is IVA overvalued or undervalued?

Inventiva S.A. - American Depos trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IVA?

15 analysts cover IVA with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Inventiva S.A. - American Depos do?Inventiva S.A., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of oral small molecule therapies...

Inventiva S.A., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of oral small molecule therapies for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) and other diseases in France and internationally. It develops Lanifibranor, a novel peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor agonist that is in the NATiV3 Phase 3 clinical trial to treat adult patients with MASH; and Odiparcil for the treatment of patients with mucopolysaccharidoses. The company also develops TGF-ß, a pre-clinical program for the treatment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Inventiva S.A. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Daix, France.

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