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IOVAIovance Biotherapeutics, Inc.Sell5.9·$4.00-5.44%
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Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. (IOVA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.00: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 6.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Below-average business quality.

Iovance Biotherapeutics is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company selling Amtagvi (lifileucel), the first approved TIL cell therapy for advanced melanoma, and Proleukin (aldesleukin). Revenue from Amtagvi infusions is recognized upon infusion; Proleukin sells through... Read more

$4.00+91.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#33 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-7.89%
Stop $3.72Target $7.66(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 6.1:1
Analyst target$8.80+120.0%10 analysts
$7.66our TP
$4.00price
$8.80mean
$14

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.00: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 6.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-13.3
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA-5.0
Profit Mgn-123.9%
ROE-47.5%
Rev Growth44.8%
Beta0.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV134%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 9.0% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Short Interest
0.9
Days To Cover
3.3
Put Call
7.6
Beta
8.8
High short interest justified: 26%High IV: 134%

Clinical-stage biotech: losses expected pre-commercialisation. Quality floor doesn't distinguish R&D investment from operational decay — components above tell the real story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
3.9
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
9.4
Cash-burning: FCF -52% of revenueNo competitive moat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.4
Growth Rank
6.4
Value Rank
6.4
GatesMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 6.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $3.28Resistance $4.58

Price Targets

$4
$8
A.Upside+91.5%
A.R:R6.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IOVA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.00: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 6.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $3.72. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IOVA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.66 (+91.5% upside). Prior stop was $3.72. Stop-loss: $3.72.

What are the risks of investing in IOVA?

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is IOVA overvalued or undervalued?

Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -13.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IOVA?

16 analysts cover IOVA with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. do?Iovance Biotherapeutics is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company selling Amtagvi (lifileucel), the first...

Iovance Biotherapeutics is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company selling Amtagvi (lifileucel), the first approved TIL cell therapy for advanced melanoma, and Proleukin (aldesleukin). Revenue from Amtagvi infusions is recognized upon infusion; Proleukin sells through distributors for use in Amtagvi regimens and other oncology applications.

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