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Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc., a medical technology company, focuses on the development and commercialization of minimally invasive solutions for patients with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) in the United States and internationally. The company offers Inspire system, a... Read more

$51.41+27.5% upside
Score 5.8/10Target $65.57Reward/Risk 5.8:1

TrendMatrix rates Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) as Hold with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $51.41 with +27.5% upside to the $65.57 price target. Overall score: 5.8/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 5.8:1.

Passes 3/5 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Val7.6Qual6.0Grw5.5Mom1.3Sent9.2Ins3.7Peer6.3Tech5.9Risk5.15.8OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
+ Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
- Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing)
- Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5
- Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)10.7
P/E (Fwd)19.5
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA18.7
Profit Mgn15.9%
ROE19.8%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta0.78
DividendNone
Analysts25
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INSP stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) as Hold with moderate confidence. Score 5.8/10.

What is the INSP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $65.57 (+27.5% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 5.8:1. Stop-loss: $48.98.

What are the risks of investing in INSP?

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is INSP overvalued or undervalued?

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.7 (forward 19.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about INSP?

25 analysts cover INSP with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $77.

What does Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. do?Inspire Medical Systems, Inc., a medical technology company, focuses on the development and commercialization of...

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc., a medical technology company, focuses on the development and commercialization of minimally invasive solutions for patients with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) in the United States and internationally. The company offers Inspire system, a neurostimulation technology that provides a safe and effective treatment for patients with moderate to severe OSA. It also develops a novel, closed-loop solution that continuously monitors a patient's breathing and delivers mild hypoglossal nerve stimulation to maintain an open airway. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Golden Valley, Minnesota.

Related stocks: GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · TMDX (TransMedics Group, Inc.) · IRTC (iRhythm Holdings, Inc.) · SNN (Smith & Nephew SNATS, Inc.) · HAE (Haemonetics Corporation)
17 OVERSOLD
<20d<50d<200dDEATH CROSSSupp $50.50Res $86.00

Price Targets

$49
$66
Upside+27.5%
Reward/Risk5.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! MOMENTUM:1.3<5.0
! DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
FALLING KNIFESuitability: Aggressive
Risk/Reward 5.5>=2.0
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Momentum 1.3<5.0
Death cross (50MA < 200MA)