Skip to main content
INGRIngredion IncorporatedSell4.9·$101.59+0.68%
Open full analysis

Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. At $101.59, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.2%.

Ingredion is a global ingredient solutions provider with 41 manufacturing facilities across three reportable segments: Texture & Healthful Solutions (global), Food & Industrial Ingredients–LATAM, and Food & Industrial Ingredients–U.S./Canada. It processes corn, tapioca, potato,... Read more

$101.59+5.2% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#20 of 26 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.58%
IncomeYield3.23%(5y avg 2.70%)Payout31.35%sustainable
Stop $96.55Target $106.86(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$122.83+20.9%6 analysts
$106.86our TP
$101.59price
$122.83mean
$150

Sell if holding. At $101.59, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.2%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Ingredion Incorporated

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 35%
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.2%
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Weak overall score: 4.9/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.8
P/E (Fwd)8.8
Mkt Cap$6.4B
EV/EBITDA6.1
Profit Mgn9.4%
ROE16.2%
Rev Growth-1.2%
Beta0.59
Dividend3.23%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$60-40.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-05Item 2.05MEDIUM
    Ingredion committed May 1, 2026 to cease operations at its Cabo, Brazil manufacturing facility by June 30, 2026. Expected pre-tax charges of approximately $43M: ~$36M impairment/write-downs and ~$7M cash employee/severance costs. Majority of charges expected Q2 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-25Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Jason Payant appointed Interim CFO effective April 1, 2026, succeeding James D. Gray who resigned as EVP/CFO effective March 31, 2026. Payant has been with Ingredion since 2012; no permanent CFO named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-23Item 5.02LOW
    Gregory B. Kenny retired from the Board effective March 23, 2026. Siobhán Talbot elected as new independent director effective April 1, 2026. Kenny cited no disagreement with Company.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -1%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.3
Value Rank
5.3
Quality Rank
6.7
Best-in-class margins
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spot8K SERIOUS 2.05Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $97.12Resistance $105.20

Price Targets

$97
$107
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! 8K_SERIOUS:2.05

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INGR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $101.59, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.2%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Prior stop was $96.55. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INGR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $106.86 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $96.55. Stop-loss: $96.55.

What are the risks of investing in INGR?

Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Is INGR overvalued or undervalued?

Ingredion Incorporated trades at a P/E of 9.8 (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about INGR?

14 analysts cover INGR with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $123.

What does Ingredion Incorporated do?Ingredion is a global ingredient solutions provider with 41 manufacturing facilities across three reportable segments:...

Ingredion is a global ingredient solutions provider with 41 manufacturing facilities across three reportable segments: Texture & Healthful Solutions (global), Food & Industrial Ingredients–LATAM, and Food & Industrial Ingredients–U.S./Canada. It processes corn, tapioca, potato, and other plant materials into starches (50% of 2025 net sales) and sweeteners (34%) for food, beverage, brewing, and industrial customers. No single customer exceeded 10% of 2025 net sales.

Related stocks: SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp.) · HLF (Herbalife Ltd.) · CENTA (Central Garden & Pet Company) · CENT (Central Garden & Pet Company) · MKC (McCormick & Company, Incorporat)
Home Stocks INGR

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat48d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance48d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail49d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat41d agoEarnings
Kalkine Media41d ago
StockStory41d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com41d agoEarnings
MarketBeat50d ago
StockStory43d agoEarnings
Benzinga6d ago
Benzinga7d ago
Benzinga7d ago
Benzinga7d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga8d ago
Benzinga8d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga13d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga40d agoAnalyst
Benzinga41d agoEarnings
Benzinga41d agoEarnings
Benzinga41d agoEarnings
Loading more...