Skip to main content
IIINInsteel Industries, Inc.Sell4.9·$28.98-0.69%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Insteel Industries shows a confirmed technical downtrend, a quality score below the engine's floor on weak earnings quality, and an unfavorable risk/reward setup ahead of its July 16, 2026 earnings report.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Quality Red FlagStable
  • Confirmed Technical DowntrendStable
  • Elevated Options Risk Near EarningsStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Insteel Industries, Inc. (IIIN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5QualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Sell if holding. At $28.98, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Insteel Industries Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets steel wire reinforcing products for concrete construction applications. The company offers prestressed concrete strand (PC strand) and welded wire reinforcement (WWR) products. Its PC strand, a... Read more

$28.98+8.5% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#9 of 11 Metal Fabrication
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-0.42%
IncomeYield0.40%(5y avg 0.37%)Payout5.53%sustainable
Stop $27.22Target $31.45(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$37.00+27.7%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. At $28.98, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 16, 20268d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.5%
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak overall score: 4.9/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.7
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$576M
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn6.2%
ROE12.0%
Rev Growth7.5%
Beta0.52
Dividend0.40%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.27bearish
IV90%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.4

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.0
Macd
1.6
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.36Resistance $31.04

Price Targets

$27
$31
A.Upside+8.5%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-16 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IIIN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $28.98, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $27.22. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IIIN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.45 (+8.5% upside). Prior stop was $27.22. Stop-loss: $27.22.

What are the risks of investing in IIIN?

Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Is IIIN overvalued or undervalued?

Insteel Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.7 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IIIN?

6 analysts cover IIIN with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $37.

What does Insteel Industries, Inc. do?Insteel Industries Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets steel wire reinforcing products for...

Insteel Industries Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets steel wire reinforcing products for concrete construction applications. The company offers prestressed concrete strand (PC strand) and welded wire reinforcement (WWR) products. Its PC strand, a seven-wire strand that is used to impart compression forces into precast concrete elements and structures providing reinforcement for bridges, parking decks, buildings, and other concrete structures. The company's WWR engineered reinforcing product is used in nonresidential and residential construction. It produces a range of WWR products, such as engineered structural mesh, an engineered made-to-order product that is used as the primary reinforcement for concrete elements or structures serving as a reinforcing solution for hot-rolled rebar; concrete pipe reinforcement, an engineered made-to-order product, which is used as the primary reinforcement in concrete pipe, box culverts, and precast manholes for drainage and sewage systems, water treatment facilities, and other related applications; and standard welded wire reinforcement, a secondary reinforcing product for crack control applications in residential and light nonresidential construction, including driveways, sidewalks, and various slab-on-grade applications. It sells its products through sales representatives to the manufacturers of concrete products, rebar fabricators, distributors, and contractors. Insteel Industries Inc. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Mount Airy, North Carolina.

Related stocks: GPGI (GPGI, Inc.) · WOR (Worthington Enterprises, Inc.) · PRLB (Proto Labs, Inc.) · RYZ (Ryerson Holding Corporation) · MEC (Mayville Engineering Company, I)
Home Stocks IIIN

Latest news

No recent news