Skip to main content
IDRIdaho Strategic Resources, Inc.Sell6.0·$32.66+4.95%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Idaho Strategic Resources pairs a high-quality compounder profile with a strong growth rate and cheap growth-adjusted valuation, but near-term momentum is a temporary headwind with the shares in a pullback below their still-rising 200-day average, and the risk/reward setup sits just under the engine's asymmetry bar.

Thesis pillars

  • Asymmetry Just Below BarDeteriorating
  • High Quality Compounder ProfileDeteriorating
  • Strong Growth ProfileDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. (IDR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)VALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Sell if holding. At $32.66, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Commodity: gold.

Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc., a resource-based company, engages in the exploration, development, and extraction of gold, silver, and base metal mineral resources in the North Idaho. The company was formerly known as New Jersey Mining Company and changed its name to Idaho... Read more

$32.66+16.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#30 of 41 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-1.53%
Stop $30.59Target $38.25(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$45.00+37.8%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. At $32.66, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Commodity: gold. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and SEC filing concern. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc.

About Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc.

Idaho Strategic Resources centers its business on gold exploration and mining at the Golden Chest Mine and adjacent properties in Idaho, processing ore through a conventional flotation method into a bulk sulfide concentrate sold to smelters in South Korea and/or Asia. Continuous production depends on maintaining sufficient water rights and physical water availability for its mining and milling operations, and the company's future largely hinges on the success of ongoing exploration drilling at Golden Chest and nearby claims.

Idaho Strategic Resources sells its concentrate at prices tied to spot gold and other metal markets rather than long-term fixed contracts, so profitability rises and falls with global gold prices, currency exchange rates, and production costs for fuel, electricity, and labor. The company has not disclosed proven or probable reserves in the excerpted filing and instead frames its story around exploration success, meaning near-term cash flow depends on converting drilling results at Golden Chest into economically mineable material. Environmental obligations include managing mine-contact water, stormwater diversion, and tailings storage facilities, with climate change cited as a source of both risk (increased drought or heavy-rainfall events straining water management) and potential upside (warmer winters extending the drilling season). The company also flags going-concern-style liquidity risk, noting there is no assurance its initiatives to improve liquidity and financial position will succeed if internally generated cash flow proves insufficient for working capital needs.

Show full overview

The clearest off-take concentration in Idaho Strategic Resources' filing is on the buy side of its supply chain rather than a single customer contract: the company's entire saleable product, a bulk sulfide flotation concentrate, ships to smelters in South Korea and/or Asia, and final payment is determined by the smelter's own sampling of the concentrate rather than the company's provisional mill samples, a structural pricing dependency the company has tried to narrow by increasing sample mass at the mill. That same filing flags tariffs and trade sanctions as a distinct risk to the exploration supplies and equipment it sources, meaning Idaho Strategic Resources carries cross-border exposure on both ends of its business — importing mining inputs and exporting concentrate for smelting — without naming a single alternate smelting counterparty.

See also: Basic Materials · Gold

From Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-21
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: gold
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.6
P/E (Fwd)39.4
Mkt Cap$493M
EV/EBITDA17.7
Profit Mgn44.0%
ROE25.5%
Rev Growth13.2%
Beta1.26
DividendNone
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.76neutral
IV70%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditygold
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our operations will be significantly affected by changes in the market price of gold.'
  • MEDIUMCustomersmelters in South Korea and/or Asia
    10-K Item 1A: 'a bulk sulfide flotation concentrate that is sold to smelters in South Korea and/or Asia'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-08Item 4.01HIGH
    Auditor Assure CPA, LLC resigned June 3, 2026 after merging into Sadler, Gibb & Associates, LLC, which the Audit Committee approved as successor auditor. No disagreements and no adverse/qualified opinions were reported for FY2024-2025; change was firm-merger driven, not dispute-driven.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.0
Gap
3.0
Bollinger
3.5
Support Resistance
3.7
Extreme gap up (6.0%) - may pull back
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotSEC critical: Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.22Resistance $36.25

Price Targets

$31
$38
A.Upside+16.3%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Critical SEC filing

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IDR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $32.66, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Commodity: gold. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Prior stop was $30.59. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IDR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.25 (+16.3% upside). Prior stop was $30.59. Stop-loss: $30.59.

What are the risks of investing in IDR?

Concentration risk — Commodity: gold; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is IDR overvalued or undervalued?

Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.6 (forward 39.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IDR?

5 analysts cover IDR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $45.

What does Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. do?Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc., a resource-based company, engages in the exploration, development, and extraction of...

Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc., a resource-based company, engages in the exploration, development, and extraction of gold, silver, and base metal mineral resources in the North Idaho. The company was formerly known as New Jersey Mining Company and changed its name to Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. in December 2021. Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Coeur d'Alene, Idaho.

Related stocks: FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · CMCL (Caledonia Mining Corporation Pl) · ARIS (Aris Mining Corporation) · GAU (Galiano Gold Inc.) · MAKO (Mako Mining Corp)
Home Stocks IDR

Latest news

Latest News

TradingKey25d ago
TradingKey25d ago
GuruFocus25d ago
TechTarget52d ago
Yahoo Finance53d ago
CryptoRank53d ago
DonanımHaber47d ago
The Globe and Mail18d agoAnalyst
TradingKey24d ago
Investing.com South Africa31d agoProduct
Junior Mining Network31d agoProduct
Dars.gov.et37d ago
Sharewise.com9d agoEarnings
MarketBeat9d ago
GuruFocus10d ago
Investing.com10d ago
Dars.gov.et45d ago
Sekbernews.id16d agoProduct
TradingView55d ago
Marketscreener.com55d ago
Loading more...