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ICHRIchor HoldingsSell4.5·$87.74+4.40%
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Ichor Holdings (ICHR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $87.74: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Ichor Holdings designs and manufactures critical fluid delivery subsystems and components primarily for semiconductor capital equipment OEMs, operating from facilities in the U.S., Singapore, Malaysia, and Mexico. Revenue of $947.7M in 2025 is highly concentrated, with Lam... Read more

$87.74-0.5% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#21 of 25 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.79%
Stop $80.72Target $86.34(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$76.71-12.6%7 analysts
$86.34our TP
$87.74price
$76.71mean
$60

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $87.74: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Ichor Holdings

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Lam Research and Applied Materials (76.0%)
Target reached (-23.1% upside)
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)33.2
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA113.9
Profit Mgn-5.3%
ROE-7.4%
Rev Growth4.7%
Beta1.88
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV120%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerLam Research and Applied Materials76%
    10-K Item 1A: 'two customers with individual sales over 10%, Lam Research and Applied Materials, accounted for a combined 76% of total sales'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -5.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.4
Moat
4.6
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.5
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.8
Growth Rank
2.8
Value Rank
8.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
9.7

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $62.17Resistance $88.10

Price Targets

$81
$86
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-23.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ICHR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $87.74: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $80.72. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ICHR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $86.34 (-0.5% upside). Prior stop was $80.72. Stop-loss: $80.72.

What are the risks of investing in ICHR?

Concentration risk — Customer: Lam Research and Applied Materials (76.0%); Target reached (-23.1% upside); Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is ICHR overvalued or undervalued?

Ichor Holdings trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 33.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ICHR?

13 analysts cover ICHR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $77.

What does Ichor Holdings do?Ichor Holdings designs and manufactures critical fluid delivery subsystems and components primarily for semiconductor...

Ichor Holdings designs and manufactures critical fluid delivery subsystems and components primarily for semiconductor capital equipment OEMs, operating from facilities in the U.S., Singapore, Malaysia, and Mexico. Revenue of $947.7M in 2025 is highly concentrated, with Lam Research and Applied Materials accounting for a combined 76% of total sales.

Related stocks: PLAB (Photronics, Inc.) · ACMR (ACM Research, Inc.) · NVMI (Nova Ltd.) · AMKR (Amkor Technology, Inc.) · FORM (FormFactor, Inc.)
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