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ICHRIchor HoldingsSell4.4·$66.75+6.10%
ICHR · Why this verdict

Why Ichor (ICHR) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score4.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

7.1/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
P/S8.8
Fwd P/E5.3
PEG8.5
Analyst target4.0
  • Forward P/E: 24.1x
  • PEG: 0.74
  • Attractively valued

Quality

2.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE0.0
ROA0.0
Gross margin0.0
Op margin0.4
Net margin0.0
Current ratio9.5
Moat4.6
Piotroski F6.7
  • No competitive moat
  • Quality concerns

Growth

3.7/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth3.7

Momentum

2.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD0.0
OBV1.0
MA position6.0
Volume1.0
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

6.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating7.7
Price target7.1
erm sentiment5.0
  • Light analyst coverage (7.0) — signal dampened

Insider

3.3/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality3.0
insider conviction2.0
holder change5.0
  • Notable insider selling — $5,223,018 (0.238% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

3.1/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank8.0
quality rank1.8
growth rank2.8

Technical

6.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger7.3
support resistance7.1
52w position7.1
gap3.0
  • Extreme gap up (6.6%) - may pull back

Risk (lower is worse)

5.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest7.3
days to cover9.4
volatility0.0
put call10.0
implied vol0.0
max pain risk3.0
beta3.7
debt equity9.0
  • High IV: 101%
  • Above max pain $35
  • Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Catalyst

4.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history3.3
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg4.0
  • Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Quality below minimum threshold.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK
Passed (6)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • MOMENTUM:2.7<4.5
Warning (1)
  • ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=-0.0%)
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+0.0%
Downside
14.9%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE Beta 1.88>1.3, MCap $2.2B<$5B

Investment implication

The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 7.1 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:2.7<4.5.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.1, Sentiment at 6.8, and Technical at 6.1; the weakest are Quality at 2.6, Momentum at 2.7, and Peer rank at 3.1. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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