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IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.Hold5.5·$83.54
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The business operates a high-quality franchise with a wide economic moat and strong margins, but the stock has effectively reached its resistance target, leaving near-zero upside against meaningful downside — the risk/reward geometry currently does not support new exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Stretched Valuation Limits Margin Safety↑Improving
  • Wide Moat Durable Margins→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Near Report↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $83.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0.

Interactive Brokers Group is an automated global broker executing and clearing trades in stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds, ETFs, and cryptocurrencies on more than 170 exchanges in 40 countries for roughly 4.4 million customers. Commissions, net interest on margin loans and... Read more

$83.54+12.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#37 of 50 Capital Markets
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield0.43%(5y avg 0.47%)Payout13.00%sustainable
Stop $77.80Analyst target $94.20(−10% haircut)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst consensus$104.66+25.3%16 analysts
$94.20Analyst target
$83.54price
$104.66mean
$75
$120

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $83.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jan 26, 202789d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.0 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
High-quality business
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.9
P/E (Fwd)25.1
Mkt Cap$142.3B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn16.7%
ROE23.7%
Rev Growth13.5%
Beta1.37
Dividend0.43%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$65-22.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicoutside the U.S.30%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 30% of our net revenues were generated by our operating subsidiaries outside the U.S.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.9
Growth Rank
4.2
Quality Rank
7.2
GatesMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $79.30Resistance $91.85

Price Targets

$78
$94
A.Upside+12.8%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts21
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$105

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-26 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IBKR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $83.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $94.20 (+12.8%), stop $77.80 (−7.4%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IBKR stock price target?

Analyst target: $94.20 (+12.8% upside). Analyst target $94.20 (+12.8%), stop $77.80 (−7.4%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $77.80.

What are the risks of investing in IBKR?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0.

Is IBKR overvalued or undervalued?

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.9 (forward 25.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about IBKR?

21 analysts cover IBKR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $105.

What does Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. do?Interactive Brokers Group is an automated global broker executing and clearing trades in stocks, options, futures,...

Interactive Brokers Group is an automated global broker executing and clearing trades in stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds, ETFs, and cryptocurrencies on more than 170 exchanges in 40 countries for roughly 4.4 million customers. Commissions, net interest on margin loans and cash balances, and securities lending fees are the primary revenue sources, serving hedge funds, ETFs, registered investment advisors, introducing brokers, and individuals. The company joined the S&P 500 in August 2025 with 3,182 employees.

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