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HIIHuntington Ingalls Industries, Sell5.4·$297.68-1.09%
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Huntington Ingalls Industries, (HII) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $297.68: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Navy (81.0%); Weak growth.

Huntington Ingalls Industries is America's largest shipbuilder, operating Ingalls Shipbuilding (non-nuclear ships for Navy and Coast Guard), Newport News Shipbuilding (nuclear aircraft carriers and submarines as sole or one of two builders), and Mission Technologies (defense IT,... Read more

$297.68+13.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#27 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.35%
IncomeYield1.83%(5y avg 2.12%)Payout35.48%sustainable
Stop $280.54Target $337.48(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$387.91+30.3%11 analysts
$337.48our TP
$297.68price
$387.91mean
$435

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $297.68: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Navy (81.0%); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 47d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202647d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Navy (81.0%)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.6
P/E (Fwd)14.8
Mkt Cap$11.9B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn4.7%
ROE12.2%
Rev Growth13.4%
Beta0.23
Dividend1.83%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.13bearish
IV49%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. Navy81%
    10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, 2024, and 2023, approximately 81%, 80%, and 81%, respectively, of our revenues were generated from the U.S. Navy.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.0
Revenue Growth
5.8
GatesMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 47d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $287.43Resistance $334.76

Price Targets

$281
$337
A.Upside+13.4%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts17
Consensus3.6/5
Avg Target$388

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (47d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HII stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $297.68: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Navy (81.0%); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $280.54. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $337.48 (+13.4% upside). Prior stop was $280.54. Stop-loss: $280.54.

What are the risks of investing in HII?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Navy (81.0%); Weak growth.

Is HII overvalued or undervalued?

Huntington Ingalls Industries, trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 14.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HII?

17 analysts cover HII with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $388.

What does Huntington Ingalls Industries, do?Huntington Ingalls Industries is America's largest shipbuilder, operating Ingalls Shipbuilding (non-nuclear ships for...

Huntington Ingalls Industries is America's largest shipbuilder, operating Ingalls Shipbuilding (non-nuclear ships for Navy and Coast Guard), Newport News Shipbuilding (nuclear aircraft carriers and submarines as sole or one of two builders), and Mission Technologies (defense IT, cyber, C5ISR). Approximately 81% of 2025 revenues came from the U.S. Navy, with substantially all revenues from U.S. Government customers.

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