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Huntington Ingalls Industries, (HII) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $357.61. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $359.49. Engine's entry $357.61 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Huntington Ingalls Industries is America largest shipbuilder, building nuclear and non-nuclear naval ships through Ingalls (Mississippi, non-nuclear) and Newport News (Virginia, nuclear) segments, plus Mission Technologies for defense tech solutions. Revenue derives almost... Read more

$359.49+13.5% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#4 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
Entry $357.61(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $335.62Target $405.75(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1Setup A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$407.09+13.2%11 analysts
$405.75our TP
$359.49price
$407.09mean
$307
$460

Wait for pullback to $357.61. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $359.49. Engine's entry $357.61 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.7
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$14.3B
EV/EBITDA14.6
Profit Mgn4.8%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth15.7%
Beta0.36
Dividend1.52%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.97neutral
IV62%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. Government
    10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our revenues in 2025 was derived from products and services sold to the U.S. Government.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
21 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $352.05Resistance $414.03

Price Targets

$336
$358
$406
A.Upside+12.9%
A.R:R-0.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.5% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HII stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $357.61. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $359.49. Engine's entry $357.61 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $405.75 (+12.9%), stop $335.62 (−7.1%), Setup A.R:R 3.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $405.75 (+13.5% upside). Target $405.75 (+12.9%), stop $335.62 (−7.1%), Setup A.R:R 3.0:1. Stop-loss: $335.62.

What are the risks of investing in HII?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is HII overvalued or undervalued?

Huntington Ingalls Industries, trades at a P/E of 23.7 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about HII?

17 analysts cover HII with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $407.

What does Huntington Ingalls Industries, do?Huntington Ingalls Industries is America largest shipbuilder, building nuclear and non-nuclear naval ships through...

Huntington Ingalls Industries is America largest shipbuilder, building nuclear and non-nuclear naval ships through Ingalls (Mississippi, non-nuclear) and Newport News (Virginia, nuclear) segments, plus Mission Technologies for defense tech solutions. Revenue derives almost entirely from U.S. Department of Defense on long-term contracts; the company employs over 44,000 people.

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