Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) Stock Analysis
Basic Materials · Coking Coal
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $98.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Commodity: steelmaking coal; Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (56.0%).
Warrior Met Coal is a US-based premium hard coking coal producer operating three Alabama underground mines (Mine No. 4, Mine No. 7, Blue Creek), producing 9.3 million metric tons of steelmaking coal in 2025. Revenue is entirely from HCC sales to blast furnace steel producers in... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $98.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Commodity: steelmaking coal; Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (56.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS B. Riley Securities Maintains Buy on Warrior Met Coal, Raises Price Target to $123 — benzinga Jun 10, 2026 positive
- NEWS UBS Maintains Buy on Warrior Met Coal, Lowers Price Target to $102 — benzinga May 1, 2026 positive
- NEWS Warrior Met Coal Q1 2026 Earnings Call: Complete Transcript — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Warrior Met Coal Q1 EPS $1.37 Beats $1.16 Estimate, Sales $458.588M Miss $465.987M Estimate — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Earnings Scheduled For April 30, 2026 — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCommoditysteelmaking coal10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our revenues are derived from the sale of steelmaking coal and our business may suffer from a substantial or extended decline in steelmaking coal pricing and demand'
- HIGHCustomertop-5 customers56%10-K Item 1A: 'For the year ended December 31, 2025, we derived approximately 56% of our total sales revenues from our five largest customers.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-21Item 5.02LOWWarrior Met Coal shareholders approved the 2026 Equity Incentive Plan at the April 20, 2026 Annual Meeting; plan was adopted by Board on Feb 10, 2026 and adds new equity compensation capacity.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $98.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Commodity: steelmaking coal; Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (56.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $108.18 (+10.3%), stop $91.24 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $108.18 (+10.3% upside). Target $108.18 (+10.3%), stop $91.24 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $91.24.
Concentration risk — Commodity: steelmaking coal; Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (56.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.6 (forward 13.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.
12 analysts cover HCC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $106.
What does Warrior Met Coal, Inc. do?Warrior Met Coal is a US-based premium hard coking coal producer operating three Alabama underground mines (Mine No. 4,...
Warrior Met Coal is a US-based premium hard coking coal producer operating three Alabama underground mines (Mine No. 4, Mine No. 7, Blue Creek), producing 9.3 million metric tons of steelmaking coal in 2025. Revenue is entirely from HCC sales to blast furnace steel producers in Asia (48%), Europe (37%), South America (14%), and US (1%). Top 5 customers represent approximately 56% of total sales revenues.