Alpha Metallurgical Resources, (AMR) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Basic Materials · Coking Coal
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $192.91: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.79; Below-average business quality.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources is a Tennessee-based met coal producer operating 14 active underground mines and five surface mines across Virginia and West Virginia, with 294.5 million tons of proven and probable reserves. Met coal accounted for 96% of coal revenues in 2025, with... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $192.91: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.79; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About Alpha Metallurgical Resources,
About Alpha Metallurgical Resources,
Alpha Metallurgical Resources produced approximately 13.7 million tons of metallurgical coal in 2025, with met coal representing 96% of coal revenues and international shipments accounting for 73% of coal revenues that year. The company operates 14 active underground mines and 5 surface mines concentrated in the Central Appalachian basin across Virginia and West Virginia, exporting through a 65.0%-owned terminal at Newport News, Virginia, with 1.7 million net tons of storage capacity. Asia was the dominant export destination, absorbing 33% of coal revenues in 2025.
Alpha earns revenue from met and thermal coal sales to domestic and international steel producers, coke manufacturers and utilities. Met coal sales mix approximately 60% long-term contracts with annual, quarterly and spot cargo arrangements; domestic contracts are typically annual fixed-price while export agreements use market-indexed monthly pricing. Thermal coal, roughly 4% of coal revenues in 2025, goes primarily to large utilities. All preparation plants draw electricity from American Electric Power, a single-utility power dependency. Principal mine-to-port logistics rely on CSX Transportation and Norfolk Southern Railway Company, with rail constituting approximately 89% of shipments in 2025. Competition in the export market comes primarily from Australian and Canadian producers, while domestic competition includes other Appalachian and Illinois basin miners.
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Customer concentration is the most quantifiable off-take risk: the 10 largest customers accounted for 77% of total revenues in 2025, with the single largest representing 14%. In March 2025, the Trump administration implemented steel tariffs under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962; while these tariffs may increase domestic met coal demand from U.S. steelmakers, retaliatory measures by foreign nations could weigh on export customers whose U.S. steel shipments face curtailment — a direct exposure given 76% of met coal tons were shipped internationally in 2025.
See also: Basic Materials · Coking Coal
From Alpha Metallurgical Resources, 's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-12Recent Developments — Alpha Metallurgical Resources,
Latest news
- NEWS Taylor Morrison Home Surges On Berkshire Hathaway Acquisition, Joins Elmet Group And Other Big Stocks Moving Higher In M — benzinga Jun 1, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Alpha Metallurgical Q1 EPS $(0.86), Sales $524.987M Miss $538.533M Estimate — benzinga May 8, 2026 negative
- NEWS Alpha Metallurgical Resources Expects To Report Net Loss Of $11M, Or $0.86 Per Share For First Quarter 2026 — benzinga Apr 24, 2026 negative
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCommoditymet coal96%10-K Item 1A: 'met coal accounted for 96% of our coal revenues'
- HIGHGeographicexport revenues73%10-K Item 1A: 'coal export revenues accounted for approximately 73% of our coal revenues'
- MEDIUMGeographicAsia33%10-K Item 1: 'coal sales to Asia accounting for approximately 45% and 43%, respectively, of export coal revenues and 33% and 34%, respectively, of coal revenues in each year'
- HIGHCustomertop-10 customers77%10-K Item 1A: 'coal sales to our 10 largest customers accounted for approximately 77% of our total revenues'
- LOWCustomerlargest customer14%10-K Item 1A: 'Coal sales to our largest customer during the year ended December 31, 2025 accounted for approximately 14% of our total revenues'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Revenue shrinking — -1.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $192.91: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.79; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $175.89. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $217.56 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $175.89. Stop-loss: $175.89.
Concentration risk — Commodity: met coal (96.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: export revenues (73.0%); Target reached (-12.6% upside).
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover AMR with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $195.
What does Alpha Metallurgical Resources, do?Alpha Metallurgical Resources is a Tennessee-based met coal producer operating 14 active underground mines and five...
Alpha Metallurgical Resources is a Tennessee-based met coal producer operating 14 active underground mines and five surface mines across Virginia and West Virginia, with 294.5 million tons of proven and probable reserves. Met coal accounted for 96% of coal revenues in 2025, with exports representing 73% of coal revenues shipped to customers on five continents. The company holds a 65.0% interest in the Dominion Terminal Associates export terminal in Newport News, Virginia.