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GILTGilat Satellite Networks Ltd.Sell6.5·$9.90+3.77%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Gilat Satellite Networks has beaten earnings estimates in all four recent quarters by enormous margins—average surprise exceeding 239%—and analysts see 34% upside from current levels, but the investment case is constrained by business quality that falls below the minimum acceptable threshold, weak price momentum with selling pressure in the options market, and a risk/reward at the current spot price that is too thin to justify new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Business Quality Below Minimum FloorStable
  • Extreme Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Momentum Weakness Pullback In UptrendDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd. (GILT) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides satellite-based broadband communication solutions in Israel, the United States, Peru, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Satellite Networks, Integrated Solutions, and Network Infrastructure... Read more

$9.90+65.0% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#2 of 24 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.58%
Stop $9.20Target $16.32(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 7.8:1
Analyst target$19.20+93.9%2 analysts
$16.32our TP
$9.90price
$19.20mean
$20

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.5
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$762M
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn6.2%
ROE7.0%
Rev Growth16.9%
Beta1.06
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.6
Rsi
3.5
Macd
6.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 7.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.37Resistance $11.90

Price Targets

$9
$16
A.Upside+65.0%
A.R:R7.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GILT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.20. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GILT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.32 (+65.0% upside). Prior stop was $9.20. Stop-loss: $9.20.

What are the risks of investing in GILT?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Is GILT overvalued or undervalued?

Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd. trades at a P/E of 22.5 (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GILT?

9 analysts cover GILT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd. do?Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides satellite-based broadband communication...

Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides satellite-based broadband communication solutions in Israel, the United States, Peru, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Satellite Networks, Integrated Solutions, and Network Infrastructure and Services. The company designs and manufactures ground-based satellite communications equipment. Its portfolio consists of cloud-based satellite network platform, very small aperture terminals, amplifiers, modems, on-the-move antennas, ESA antennas, solid state power amplifiers, block upconverters, transceivers, and transportable and portable terminals. The company also develops, manufactures, and supplies products and solutions for mission-critical defense and broadcast satellite communications systems, advanced on-the-move and on-the-pause satellite communications equipment, systems, and solutions, including airborne, ground-mobile satellite systems and solutions; and provides terrestrial, including fiber optic and wireless network, and satellite network construction and operation services. In addition, it provides managed satellite network services, network planning and optimization, remote network operation, call center support, hub and field operations, and communication networks construction and installation services; connectivity services, internet access, and telephony services; and builds telecommunication infrastructure using fiber-optic and wireless technologies for broadband connectivity. The company sells its products and solutions to communication service providers, satellite operators, Mobile Network Operators, and system integrators that use satellite communications to serve enterprise, social inclusion solutions, and government and residential users; and defense and homeland security organizations, as well as directly to end-users. Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Petah Tikva, Israel.

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