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EXTRExtreme Networks, Inc.Hold5.3·$28.60-3.28%
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Extreme Networks, Inc. (EXTR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: top six suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Extreme Networks designs and sells cloud-managed networking solutions including wired/wireless hardware and software subscriptions to enterprise, education, government, and healthcare customers worldwide. The company generates revenue from product sales and recurring... Read more

$28.60+2.9% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#10 of 21 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.32%
Stop $26.72Target $29.56(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$26.69-6.7%8 analysts
$29.56our TP
$28.60price
$26.69mean
$23
$33

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: top six suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-10
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: top six suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)239.4
P/E (Fwd)22.1
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA40.3
Profit Mgn1.3%
ROE21.6%
Rev Growth11.4%
Beta1.81
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.93neutral
IV77%elevated
Max Pain$2-93.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliertop six suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our top six suppliers accounted for a significant portion of our purchases during the year.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.6
Value Rank
3.2
Quality Rank
4.7
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.33Resistance $30.16

Price Targets

$27
$30
A.Upside+3.4%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.2% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXTR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: top six suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $29.56 (+3.4%), stop $26.72 (−7.0%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the EXTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.56 (+2.9% upside). Target $29.56 (+3.4%), stop $26.72 (−7.0%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Stop-loss: $26.72.

What are the risks of investing in EXTR?

Concentration risk — Supplier: top six suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away).

Is EXTR overvalued or undervalued?

Extreme Networks, Inc. trades at a P/E of 239.4 (forward 22.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EXTR?

14 analysts cover EXTR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Extreme Networks, Inc. do?Extreme Networks designs and sells cloud-managed networking solutions including wired/wireless hardware and software...

Extreme Networks designs and sells cloud-managed networking solutions including wired/wireless hardware and software subscriptions to enterprise, education, government, and healthcare customers worldwide. The company generates revenue from product sales and recurring software/support subscriptions; no single customer exceeds 10% of revenues.

Related stocks: VISN (Vistance Networks, Inc.) · UI (Ubiquiti Inc.) · GILT (Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.) · VIAV (Viavi Solutions Inc.) · ZBRA (Zebra Technologies Corporation)
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