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ONDSOndas IncSell4.9·$9.62+3.11%
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Ondas Inc (ONDS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.62 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Customer: top-2 customers.

Ondas Inc. is a defense, security, and critical infrastructure technology company organized around autonomous systems (OAS—counter-UAS, ISR, UGV), private wireless networks (Ondas Networks—FullMAX IEEE 802.16 platform for rail/utilities), and strategic investments (Ondas... Read more

$9.62+82.1% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#15 of 21 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-0.32%
Stop $8.94Target $17.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.5:1
Analyst target$20.13+109.2%8 analysts
$17.51our TP
$9.62price
$20.13mean
$25

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.62 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Customer: top-2 customers. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Outperforming peers
Wide economic moat
Analyst upside: 82%
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-2 customers
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak overall score: 4.9/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)103.7
P/E (Fwd)-186.6
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA-42.4
Profit Mgn251.9%
ROE42.9%
Rev Growth1079.9%
Beta2.62
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV98%elevated
Max Pain$1-89.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop-2 customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'During the year ended December 31, 2025, two customers accounted for approximately 55% and 11%, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.3
Obv
1.6
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R 5.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.97Resistance $14.16

Price Targets

$9
$18
A.Upside+82.0%
A.R:R5.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ONDS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.62 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Customer: top-2 customers. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $8.94. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ONDS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.51 (+82.1% upside). Prior stop was $8.94. Stop-loss: $8.94.

What are the risks of investing in ONDS?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-2 customers; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Is ONDS overvalued or undervalued?

Ondas Inc trades at a P/E of 103.7 (forward -186.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ONDS?

14 analysts cover ONDS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Ondas Inc do?Ondas Inc. is a defense, security, and critical infrastructure technology company organized around autonomous systems...

Ondas Inc. is a defense, security, and critical infrastructure technology company organized around autonomous systems (OAS—counter-UAS, ISR, UGV), private wireless networks (Ondas Networks—FullMAX IEEE 802.16 platform for rail/utilities), and strategic investments (Ondas Capital). Revenue is highly concentrated in a small number of government and defense customers.

Related stocks: VISN (Vistance Networks, Inc.) · VIAV (Viavi Solutions Inc.) · GILT (Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.) · UI (Ubiquiti Inc.) · ZBRA (Zebra Technologies Corporation)
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