Value
8.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.1 |
| P/S | 7.8 |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.1 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.8 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 6.5x
- ▸PEG: 0.03
- ▸Attractively valued
GFI · Why this verdict
Why Gold Fields (GFI) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score7.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
8.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 7.1 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 6.4 |
| FCF quality | 5.4 |
| Moat | 8.2 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 52%
- ▸Strong margins: 41%
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 71% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 71% YoY
Momentum
4.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 0.6 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 6.0 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 5.0 |
| Analyst rating | 6.8 |
| Price target | 9.7 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (8.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 58%
Insider
5.1/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.2 |
- ▸Negligible insider buying — $18,850 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.0/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.1 |
| quality rank | 8.7 |
| growth rank | 4.1 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.3 |
| support resistance | 6.2 |
| 52w position | 2.4 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.7 |
| days to cover | 9.8 |
| volatility | 0.4 |
| put call | 8.7 |
| implied vol | 1.8 |
| beta | 9.9 |
| debt equity | 8.5 |
- ▸High IV: 69%
Catalyst
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 6.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 9.5 |
| dividend safety | 7.0 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 635.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Value play: 38% MoS with quality 8.6. (held at prior verdict — engine reading is near the momentum/RSI threshold; will commit on clearer signal).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_A_VALUE_MOS33|STABILIZER:PROMOTE_DEAD_ZONE|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLEPassed (9)
- MOMENTUM:4.7>=4.5
- ASYMMETRY:3.8>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:71d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:1/3
Failed (0)
none
Warning (1)
- MOMENTUM:4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
3.83
Upside
+37.1%
Downside
9.7%
Sizing output
HALF
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict reflects clean gate clearance against Growth at 10.0 and asymmetric R:R of 3.83.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Value at 8.6, and Quality at 8.6; the weakest are Momentum at 4.7, Peer rank at 5.0, and Insider at 5.1. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.83 and an engine sizing output of HALF.