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GERNGeron CorporationHold6.1·$1.11-0.89%
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Geron Corporation (GERN) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $3.40 vs price $1.10 — ratio 3.1×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $0.72B below $1B minimum.

Geron Corporation, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapeutics products for oncology. The company's product pipeline includes RYTELO, a telomerase inhibitor for the treatment of adult patients with low- to intermediate-1 risk... Read more

$1.11+29.1% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#22 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-12.82%
Stop $1.06Target $1.42(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$3.40+206.3%5 analysts
$1.42our TP
$1.11price
$3.40mean
$5

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $3.40 vs price $1.10 — ratio 3.1×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $0.72B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $0.72B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-10
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $3.40 vs price $1.10 — ratio 3.1×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
Market cap $0.72B below $1B minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)17.2
Mkt Cap$719M
EV/EBITDA-15.3
Profit Mgn-34.3%
ROE-27.1%
Rev Growth30.9%
Beta0.60
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV134%elevated
Max Pain$3+170.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Macd
3.9
Volume
5.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 23, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Clinical-stage biotech: losses expected pre-commercialisation. Quality floor doesn't distinguish R&D investment from operational decay — components above tell the real story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Current Ratio
6.2
Moat
6.5
Piotroski F
6.7
Gross Margin
8.2
Cash-burning: FCF -47% of revenue
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
23 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $1.09Resistance $1.45

Price Targets

$1
$1
A.Upside+27.9%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $3.40 vs price $1.10 — ratio 3.1×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Market cap $0.72B below $1B minimum
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GERN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $3.40 vs price $1.10 — ratio 3.1×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $0.72B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $0.72B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $1.42 (+27.9%), stop $1.06 (−4.7%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GERN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1.42 (+29.1% upside). Target $1.42 (+27.9%), stop $1.06 (−4.7%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $1.06.

What are the risks of investing in GERN?

DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $3.40 vs price $1.10 — ratio 3.1×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $0.72B below $1B minimum.

Is GERN overvalued or undervalued?

Geron Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GERN?

12 analysts cover GERN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $3.

What does Geron Corporation do?Geron Corporation, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapeutics products...

Geron Corporation, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapeutics products for oncology. The company's product pipeline includes RYTELO, a telomerase inhibitor for the treatment of adult patients with low- to intermediate-1 risk myelodysplastic syndromes with transfusion-dependent anemia; IMerge which is in Phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes; IMpactMF that is in Phase 3 for the treatment of relapsed/refractory myelofibrosis; Impress which is in Phase 2 clinical trial to treat higher risk myelodysplastic syndromes and acute myeloid leukemia (AML); IMproveMF which is in Phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of frontline myelofibrosis; and IMAGINE which is in phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of relapsed/refractory AML. Geron Corporation was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Foster City, California.

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