Skip to main content
GENIGenius Sports LimitedSell5.9·$6.85-2.56%
Open full analysis

Genius Sports Limited (GENI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.85: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Genius Sports Limited provides technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries in the Americas, Europe, and internationally. It offers technology infrastructure for the collection, integration, and distribution of live optical... Read more

$6.85+33.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#8 of 27 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield5.49%
Stop $6.37Target $9.17(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$10.19+48.8%18 analysts
$9.17our TP
$6.85price
$10.19mean
$5
$19

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.85: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.1
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA-12.3
Profit Mgn-22.3%
ROE-22.6%
Rev Growth30.5%
Beta1.92
DividendNone
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV98%elevated
Max Pain$8+9.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
1.2
Bollinger
1.6

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.5
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
5.8
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Volatile — 6.4% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.6
Beta
3.6
Max Pain Risk
5.0
Short Interest
6.0
Days To Cover
7.9
Elevated put/call: 3.00High IV: 98%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.1>=5.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.01Resistance $7.22

Price Targets

$6
$9
A.Upside+33.9%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GENI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.85: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Prior stop was $6.37. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GENI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.17 (+33.9% upside). Prior stop was $6.37. Stop-loss: $6.37.

What are the risks of investing in GENI?

Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is GENI overvalued or undervalued?

Genius Sports Limited trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GENI?

25 analysts cover GENI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Genius Sports Limited do?Genius Sports Limited provides technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media...

Genius Sports Limited provides technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries in the Americas, Europe, and internationally. It offers technology infrastructure for the collection, integration, and distribution of live optical tracking, event data, and video for league's operations; streaming solutions comprising technology, automatic production, and distribution for sports to commercialize video footage of their games; and end-to-end integrity services to sports leagues, such as full-time active monitoring technology, which uses mathematical algorithms to identify and flag suspicious betting activity in global betting markets, as well as a full suite of online and offline educational and consultancy services. The company also develops additional tools that help sports leagues deepen fan engagement; and digital content and gamification solutions, as well as provides consumer insights and fan intelligence services. In addition, it provides live sports data collection; pre-game and in-game odds feeds; risk management services, including customer profiling, monitoring of incoming bets, automated acceptance and rejection of bets, and limit setting; and live streaming services. Further, the company offers BetVision, an interactive single-screen live streaming solution that provides integrated bet slip, real-time team and player statistics, personalized, and augmented viewing modes; and FanHub, an advertising solution that helps in creation, delivery, and optimization of digital marketing campaigns, including data-driven personalized ad creative and programmatic media buying. The company was formerly known as Genius Sports Group Limited and changed its name to Genius Sports Limited in April 2021. Genius Sports Limited was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Related stocks: BZ (KANZHUN LIMITED - American Depo) · OPRA (Opera Limited) · MTCH (Match Group, Inc.) · JOYY (JOYY Inc.) · PINS (Pinterest, Inc.)
Home Stocks GENI

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga5d agoProduct
Benzinga7d ago
Benzinga28d agoEarnings
Benzinga38d agoAnalyst
Benzinga38d agoAnalyst
Benzinga39d ago
Benzinga39d agoEarnings
Benzinga39d agoEarnings
Benzinga46d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga55d ago
Benzinga55d agoAnalyst