Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (The (GBX) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Railroads
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.87: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.80; Below-average business quality.
Greenbrier manufactures freight railcars and provides wheel services, maintenance, and leasing across North America, Europe, and Brazil through its Manufacturing and Leasing & Fleet Management segments. It sells and leases to railroads, leasing companies, and industrial... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.87: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.80; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop-2 customers26%10-K Item 1A: 'revenue from two customers represented approximately 26% of Consolidated Revenue'
- LOWSuppliertop supplier14%10-K Item 1A: 'The top supplier accounted for approximately 14% of total inventory purchases in 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -22.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.87: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.80; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $46.94. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $52.52 (+5.4% upside). Prior stop was $46.94. Stop-loss: $46.94.
Target reached (-23.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).
Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (The trades at a P/E of 10.5 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
10 analysts cover GBX with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $45.
What does Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (The do?Greenbrier manufactures freight railcars and provides wheel services, maintenance, and leasing across North America,...
Greenbrier manufactures freight railcars and provides wheel services, maintenance, and leasing across North America, Europe, and Brazil through its Manufacturing and Leasing & Fleet Management segments. It sells and leases to railroads, leasing companies, and industrial customers.