Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (The (GBX) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Industrials · Railroads
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $48.00: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Greenbrier is a leading international railcar manufacturer and services provider operating in North America, Europe, and Brazil (via 60%-owned Greenbrier-Maxion). Revenue comes from railcar sales, lease origination, wheel services, maintenance, and fleet management; two... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $48.00: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (The
Latest news
- NEWS Greenbrier Companies Says Co Disagrees With U.S. Customs And Border Protection's Determination On Freight Rail Couplers — benzinga May 21, 2026 negative
- NEWS 12 Industrials Stocks Moving In Tuesday's Pre-Market Session — benzinga May 19, 2026 neutral
- NEWS 12 Industrials Stocks Moving In Tuesday's After-Market Session — benzinga Apr 7, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Greenbrier Companies Lowers FY2026 GAAP EPS Guidance from $3.75-$4.75 to $3.00-$3.50 vs $4.13 Est; Lowers FY2026 Sales G — benzinga Apr 7, 2026 negative
- NEWS Greenbrier Companies Q2 EPS $0.47 Misses $0.86 Estimate, Sales $587.500M Miss $667.025M Estimate — benzinga Apr 7, 2026 negative
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop two customers10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, revenue from two customers accounted for approximately 26% of Consolidated Revenue which represented 28% of Manufacturing Revenue and 2% of Leasing & Fleet Management Revenue.'
- LOWSuppliertop supplier14%10-K Item 1A: 'The top supplier accounted for approximately 14% of total inventory purchases in 2025. No other suppliers accounted for more than 10% of total inventory purchases.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -22.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $48.00: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $45.68. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $49.66 (+3.5% upside). Prior stop was $45.68. Stop-loss: $45.68.
Target reached (-20.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).
Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (The trades at a P/E of 10.1 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
10 analysts cover GBX with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $45.
What does Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (The do?Greenbrier is a leading international railcar manufacturer and services provider operating in North America, Europe,...
Greenbrier is a leading international railcar manufacturer and services provider operating in North America, Europe, and Brazil (via 60%-owned Greenbrier-Maxion). Revenue comes from railcar sales, lease origination, wheel services, maintenance, and fleet management; two customers accounted for ~26% of 2025 consolidated revenue.