Value
7.1/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.0 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.1 |
| Analyst target | 3.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 11.5x
- ▸Attractively valued
GBX · Why this verdict
Why Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (The (GBX) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 3.1 |
| ROA | 2.1 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 0.8 |
| Net margin | 2.6 |
| Current ratio | 9.3 |
| FCF quality | 6.6 |
| Moat | 3.1 |
| Piotroski F | 4.4 |
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
0.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 0.0 |
| EPS growth | 0.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -23%
Momentum
2.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 2.6 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 2.7 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 4.3 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.8 |
| quality rank | 0.6 |
| growth rank | 0.0 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.5 |
| support resistance | 7.7 |
| 52w position | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 4.5 |
| days to cover | 4.0 |
| volatility | 6.7 |
| put call | 8.6 |
| implied vol | 4.6 |
| max pain risk | 5.0 |
| beta | 5.3 |
| debt equity | 4.9 |
Catalyst
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.5 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 290.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:23d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.6<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-3.8=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-3.81
Upside
-19.0%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeCATALYST — Earnings in 23d with 3/4 beat streak
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.43>1.3, MCap $1.5B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 7.1 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:2.6<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.1, Technical at 7.1, and Catalyst at 6.6; the weakest are Growth at 0.0, Momentum at 2.6, and Peer rank at 3.6. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -3.81 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.