Skip to main content
FTITechnipFMC plcBuy Wait6.4·$71.40
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

TechnipFMC has posted four consecutive earnings beats at an average of roughly 20% above estimates, peer-superior return on equity of 33%, and strong earnings growth, but the stock has reached analyst consensus price targets and the risk/reward of roughly 1.1-to-1 is below the threshold that would justify new exposure — making patience the appropriate stance.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings Overdelivery→Stable
  • Peer Superior Quality Returns↑Improving
  • Strong Earnings Growth Profile→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TechnipFMC plc (FTI) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-10-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $68.68. Price sits above the model's entry target of $68.68; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

TechnipFMC provides fully integrated subsea systems and surface equipment to oil and gas producers globally through Subsea and Surface Technologies segments, employing approximately 22,000 people. Revenue comes primarily from major integrated oil companies and national oil... Read more

$71.40-3.7% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#7 of 34 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.23%
IncomeYield0.28%(5y avg 1.59%)Payout6.97%sustainable
Entry $68.68(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $64.32Analyst target $68.77(reached)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst consensus$76.41+7.0%22 analysts
$71.40price
$76.41mean
$45
$89

Wait for pullback to $68.68. Price sits above the model's entry target of $68.68; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost earnings 0.60, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About TechnipFMC plc

About TechnipFMC plc

TechnipFMC emerged from the January 2017 merger of FMC Technologies and Technip S.A. as the only subsea provider integrating production systems, umbilicals, risers, flowlines, and vessel installation under a single commercial model (iEPCI), which has grown to represent nearly one-third of the addressable subsea market. The company employs approximately 22,000 people and operates 16 vessels for installation work; in 2025, two customers accounted for 15.5% and 14.0% of consolidated revenue, respectively.

TechnipFMC earns revenue through large, long-term contracts with major integrated oil companies, national oil companies, and independent E&P operators. The Subsea segment — anchored by subsea production systems, SURF infrastructure, Schilling Robotics remotely operated vehicles, and life-of-field services — is the core of activity, while Surface Technologies addresses onshore and shallow-water drilling, stimulation, and production equipment globally. The fleet of 16 vessels — 8 owned outright, 6 held in joint ventures, and 2 under charter — underpins installation capacity but creates capital and scheduling exposure to offshore project cycles. In 2025, no single Surface Technologies customer exceeded 10% of consolidated revenue. Key subsea competitors include Baker Hughes Company, OneSubsea, Saipem SpA, and Subsea 7 S.A.; TechnipFMC is the only participant with combined SPS, SURF, and installation capability under a single contract.

Show full overview

TechnipFMC's customer concentration is material: in 2025, the two largest customers accounted for 15.5% and 14.0% of consolidated revenue, respectively, per the Subsea segment's customer disclosure. The 10-K warns that cumulative loss of several major contracts or customers may have an adverse effect on results of operations, given the company's reliance on a limited number of clients — a reflection of the narrow pool of global deepwater operators who control subsea capital spending.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

From TechnipFMC plc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.9
P/E (Fwd)19.7
Mkt Cap$28.0B
EV/EBITDA14.2
Profit Mgn11.3%
ROE35.8%
Rev Growth9.0%
Beta0.83
Dividend0.28%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.08bearish
IV50%normal
Max Pain$55-23.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomercustomer at 15.5% of consolidated revenue16%
    10-K Item 1: 'Two different customers accounted for 15.5%...of our consolidated revenue in 2025, respectively'
  • LOWCustomercustomer at 14.0% of consolidated revenue14%
    10-K Item 1: 'Two different customers accounted for...14.0%, of our consolidated revenue in 2025, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-01Item 5.02LOW
    Eric Mullins elected to TechnipFMC Board effective June 1, 2026; Board size increases from 9 to 10 directors. Mullins appointed to Audit Committee. Routine non-executive director appointment.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-01Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved Amendment No. 1 to TechnipFMC 2022 Incentive Award Plan at the May 1, 2026 Annual General Meeting. Amendment was adopted by the Board on February 16, 2026. Routine compensatory arrangement approval.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.8
Support Resistance
1.1
52w Position
7.7
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $63.95Resistance $72.36

Price Targets

A.Upside-3.7%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.7% upside)
! Earnings today - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FTI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $68.68. Price sits above the model's entry target of $68.68; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Analyst target $68.77 reached (−3.7%), stop $64.32 (−11.0%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.4/10, high confidence.

What is the FTI stock price target?

Analyst target $68.77 reached (−3.7% from $71.40); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $68.77 reached (−3.7%), stop $64.32 (−11.0%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $64.32.

What are the risks of investing in FTI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is FTI overvalued or undervalued?

TechnipFMC plc trades at a P/E of 24.9 (forward 19.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about FTI?

26 analysts cover FTI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $76.

What does TechnipFMC plc do?TechnipFMC provides fully integrated subsea systems and surface equipment to oil and gas producers globally through...

TechnipFMC provides fully integrated subsea systems and surface equipment to oil and gas producers globally through Subsea and Surface Technologies segments, employing approximately 22,000 people. Revenue comes primarily from major integrated oil companies and national oil companies on large project contracts; two customers represented 15.5% and 14.0% of 2025 consolidated revenue, respectively.

Related stocks: WHD (Cactus, Inc. Class A Common Sto) · WBI (WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC) · SEI (Solaris Energy Infrastructure, ) · TDW (Tidewater Inc.) · KGS (Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.)
Home › Stocks › FTI

Latest news

Latest News

Stocktwits92d ago
Yahoo Finance22h ago
Yahoo Finance8d ago
Seeking Alpha8d ago
Simply Wall Street15d ago
The Globe and Mail15d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus15d agoAnalyst
MSN169d ago
GuruFocus169d ago
GuruFocus176d ago
Stock Titan176d ago
GuruFocus93d ago
MarketBeat93d ago
MarketBeat93d ago
MarketBeat93d ago
Marketscreener.com2d ago
Www.marketscreener.com2d ago
GuruFocus100d ago
MarketWatch9d ago
MarketBeat135d ago
Loading more...