Skip to main content
FSVFirstService CorporationSell5.0·$144.68+0.92%
Open full analysis

FirstService Corporation (FSV) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. At $144.68, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Weak growth.

FirstService Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides residential property management and other essential property services to residential and commercial customers in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments: FirstService Residential and... Read more

$144.68+14.5% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#12 of 16 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.24%
IncomeYield0.85%(5y avg 0.57%)Payout31.83%
Stop $136.32Target $165.63(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$190.38+31.6%8 analysts
$165.63our TP
$144.68price
$190.38mean
$215

Sell if holding. At $144.68, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.4
P/E (Fwd)21.3
Mkt Cap$6.6B
EV/EBITDA15.4
Profit Mgn2.9%
ROE11.2%
Rev Growth5.3%
Beta0.92
Dividend0.85%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

IV57%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.2
Bollinger
1.1
52w Position
3.9

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.8
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $119.41Resistance $145.18

Price Targets

$136
$166
A.Upside+14.5%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FSV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $144.68, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Prior stop was $136.32. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FSV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $165.63 (+14.5% upside). Prior stop was $136.32. Stop-loss: $136.32.

What are the risks of investing in FSV?

Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is FSV overvalued or undervalued?

FirstService Corporation trades at a P/E of 40.4 (forward 21.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FSV?

12 analysts cover FSV with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $190.

What does FirstService Corporation do?FirstService Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides residential property management and other essential...

FirstService Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides residential property management and other essential property services to residential and commercial customers in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments: FirstService Residential and FirstService Brands. The FirstService Residential segment operates as a full-service property manager and provides a range of ancillary services, including on-site staffing for building engineering and maintenance, full-service amenity management, security, concierge and front desk personnel; proprietary banking and insurance products; and energy conservation and management solutions. This segment serves condominiums, co-operatives, homeowner associations, master-planned communities, active adult and lifestyle communities, and other residential developments governed by common interest or multi-unit residential community associations. Its FirstService Brands segment offers property services to residential and commercial customers in North America through company-owned operations and franchise systems under the First Onsite Property Restoration, Paul Davis Restoration, Roofing Corp of America, Century Fire Protection, California Closets, CertaPro Painters, Floor Coverings International, and Pillar to Post Home Inspectors brands. This segment also provides light restoration services, including full-service water, fire and mold cleanup, construction rebuild, and restoration services; painting services; custom-designed and installed closet and home storage solutions; home inspection services; and floor covering design and installation services. FirstService Corporation was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: IRS (IRSA Inversiones Y Representaci) · IHS (IHS Holding Limited) · NMRK (Newmark Group, Inc.) · COMP (Compass, Inc.) · CSGP (CoStar Group, Inc.)
Home Stocks FSV

Latest news

Latest News

Yahoo Finance54d ago
Xã Thanh Hà54d agoEarnings
MarketBeat54d ago
GuruFocus62d agoAnalyst
The Globe and Mail62d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance53d ago
Marketscreener.com53d agoEarnings
Xã Thanh Hà54d ago
Yahoo Finance60d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance60d ago
PR Newswire60d ago
MarketBeat61d agoEarnings
MarketBeat51d ago
The Globe and Mail51d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat59d agoAnalyst
Meyka56d agoEarnings
MarketBeat64d agoAnalyst
Quiver Quantitative52d ago
MarketBeat52d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat52d agoAnalyst
Loading more...