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FRBTForbright, Inc.Buy Wait5.6·$17.24
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Forbright is a cheaply valued small-cap bank (forward P/E 7.5x, PEG 0.34) with 13.8% analyst upside, but a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, weak growth and a recent earnings miss mean the discount is partly earned.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Bank Multiple↓Deteriorating
  • Weak Piotroski Score→Stable
  • Recent Earnings Miss↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Forbright, Inc. (FRBT) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-10-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $16.85. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $17.24. Engine's entry $16.85 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Weak growth.

Forbright, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Forbright Bank that provides various financial services for consumers and businesses in the United States. The company offers checking and savings accounts, certificates of deposit, and other account and branch banking... Read more

$17.24+14.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#14 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield—
Entry $16.85(support + ATR (held))Stop $16.00Target $19.79(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst consensus$22.75+32.0%6 analysts
$19.79our TP
$17.24price
$22.75mean
$24

Wait for pullback to $16.85. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $17.24. Engine's entry $16.85 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Weak growth
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -39.6%), Material insider selling (22 sells, 0.88% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.8
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$875M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn23.8%
ROE—
Rev Growth14.8%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings today

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.2
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $16.50Resistance $18.73

Price Targets

$16
$17
$20
A.Upside+14.8%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings today - binary event risk
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FRBT stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $16.85. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $17.24. Engine's entry $16.85 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Target $19.79 (+14.8%), stop $16.00 (−7.7%), A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FRBT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.79 (+14.8% upside). Target $19.79 (+14.8%), stop $16.00 (−7.7%), A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $16.00.

What are the risks of investing in FRBT?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Weak growth; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -39.6%), Material insider selling (22 sells, 0.88% of cap).

Is FRBT overvalued or undervalued?

Forbright, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.8 (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about FRBT?

12 analysts cover FRBT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Forbright, Inc. do?Forbright, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Forbright Bank that provides various financial services for...

Forbright, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Forbright Bank that provides various financial services for consumers and businesses in the United States. The company offers checking and savings accounts, certificates of deposit, and other account and branch banking services; checking and money markets, large deposits, order checks, and individual retirement account; and asset, corporate, fund, healthcare, lender, and real estate financing services, as well as credit cards. It also provides middle market lending, digital consumer banking, strategic advisory, and asset management services. Forbright, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Chevy Chase, Maryland.

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