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NTBBank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Hold6.1·$58.17
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Bank of N.T. Butterfield offers attractive valuation at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 8.3x and a PEG ratio of 0.34, with a perfect 4-quarter earnings beat streak and strong margins of 39%, but the stock has reached its analyst target and the negative asymmetry ratio leaves little room for new capital deployment.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Low Peg→Stable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak Banking↓Deteriorating
  • Strong Margins Superior Peer Rank↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son (NTB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited provides a range of community, commercial, and private banking services to individuals and small to medium-sized businesses. The company offers retail and corporate checking, savings, and term deposits. It also provides lending products... Read more

$58.17-3.6% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#3 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield3.34%(5y avg 4.69%)Payout35.15%sustainable
Stop $56.05Analyst target $56.10(reached)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst consensus$66.00+13.5%3 analysts
$58.17price
$66.00mean
$68

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 102d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Feb 8, 2027102d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.2
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn37.5%
ROE21.1%
Rev Growth8.2%
Beta0.54
Dividend3.34%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.09bullish
IV48%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.73%=HEAVYMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 102d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $56.66Resistance $60.75

Price Targets

A.Upside-3.6%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Insider activity: 0.73%=heavy

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-08 (102d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $56.10 reached (−3.6%), stop $56.05 (−3.8%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NTB stock price target?

Analyst target $56.10 reached (−3.6% from $58.17); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $56.10 reached (−3.6%), stop $56.05 (−3.8%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $56.05.

What are the risks of investing in NTB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is NTB overvalued or undervalued?

Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son trades at a P/E of 10.2 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NTB?

7 analysts cover NTB with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $66.

What does Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son do?The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited provides a range of community, commercial, and private banking services to...

The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited provides a range of community, commercial, and private banking services to individuals and small to medium-sized businesses. The company offers retail and corporate checking, savings, and term deposits. It also provides lending products and services, including residential mortgage lending, automobile lending, credit cards, consumer financing, overdraft facilities to retail customers, commercial real estate lending, and commercial and industrial loans. In addition, the company offers cash and liquidity management, foreign exchange, custody administration, and settlement services. Further, it provides personal and business deposit services, residential and commercial mortgages, small and medium-sized enterprise and corporate loans, credit and debit cards, merchant acquiring, and mobile and internet banking services; and treasury services, wealth management, and fiduciary services. Additionally, the company offers discretionary investment management, managed portfolio services, money market, and mutual fund offerings, as well as advisory and self-directed brokerage options. It operates through offices in the Cayman Islands, Guernsey, Jersey, the United Kingdom, The Bahamas, Hong Kong, Switzerland, Singapore, Mauritius, and Canada, as well as Bermuda. The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited was founded in 1784 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

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