Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.96: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Floor and Decor is a specialty retailer of hard surface flooring operating 270 warehouse-format stores and 5 design studios across 39 US states as of December 25, 2025, plus a commercial surfaces business. Revenue comes from retail sales of laminate/vinyl, tile, wood, stone, and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.96: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-12Recent Developments — Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Mizuho Maintains Neutral on Floor & Decor Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $58 — benzinga May 8, 2026 negative
- NEWS UBS Maintains Neutral on Floor & Decor Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $55 — benzinga May 1, 2026 neutral
- NEWS TD Cowen Maintains Hold on Floor & Decor Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $48 — benzinga May 1, 2026 negative
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Neutral on Floor & Decor Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $52 — benzinga May 1, 2026 negative
- NEWS Piper Sandler Reiterates Overweight on Floor & Decor Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $70 — benzinga May 1, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWSupplierlargest multinational supplier10%10-K Item 1: 'Our largest supplier, which is multinational, accounted for 10% of our net sales in fiscal 2025, while no other individual supplier accounted for 10% or more of our net sales'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Revenue shrinking — -0.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.96: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Prior stop was $50.01. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $52.70 (-2.0% upside). Prior stop was $50.01. Stop-loss: $50.01.
Target reached (-9.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.2 (forward 24.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
27 analysts cover FND with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $54.
What does Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. do?Floor and Decor is a specialty retailer of hard surface flooring operating 270 warehouse-format stores and 5 design...
Floor and Decor is a specialty retailer of hard surface flooring operating 270 warehouse-format stores and 5 design studios across 39 US states as of December 25, 2025, plus a commercial surfaces business. Revenue comes from retail sales of laminate/vinyl, tile, wood, stone, and installation materials to professional installers and homeowners via direct manufacturer sourcing.