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FLSFlowserve CorporationHold5.4·$80.35
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Flowserve has strung together four consecutive earnings beats with an average 14% positive surprise and carries strong technical momentum — golden cross, above all moving averages, rising on-balance volume — but the stock has moved above its near-term price target, revenue is declining, and the risk/reward is unfavorable at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Four Quarter Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • Strong Technical Momentum↑Improving
  • Strong Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 17, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Flowserve Corporation (FLS) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.35, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Flowserve manufactures precision-engineered pumps, valves, mechanical seals, and automation systems through two segments — Flowserve Pumps Division and Flow Control Division — serving energy, chemical, power generation, and general industries globally. The company recorded $4.7... Read more

$80.35-5.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#36 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.17%
IncomeYield1.24%(5y avg 1.72%)Payout29.97%sustainable
Stop $74.73Analyst target $76.21(reached)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst consensus$87.60+9.0%10 analysts
$80.35price
$87.60mean
$70
$100

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.35, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 97d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Flowserve Corporation

About Flowserve Corporation

Flowserve's total company backlog stood at $2.9 billion at December 31, 2025, with the Flowserve Pumps Division (FPD) contributing $2,044.8 million and the Flow Control Division (FCD) the remainder. Total bookings reached $4.7 billion in both 2025 and 2024, up from $4.3 billion in 2023, across end markets of general industries (34% of 2025 bookings), energy (33%), chemical (19%), and power generation (14%). Flowserve employs approximately 16,000 people globally, including approximately 4,600 in the United States.

Flowserve generates revenue through two streams: original equipment orders — pumps, valves, seals, and actuators engineered to customer specifications across 37 manufacturing facilities worldwide — and aftermarket services through 126 Quick Response Centers in 48 countries. Original equipment project orders can carry manufacturing lead times of up to two years and serve EPC firms and end users in energy, chemical, and power industries. Aftermarket revenue is shorter-cycle, with orders typically booked and shipped within six months, driven by the large installed base of Flowserve equipment requiring periodic maintenance and replacement parts. Raw material costs — including nickel, metal alloys, stainless steel, and copper — have been volatile and could weigh on margins, as Flowserve purchases substantially all raw materials from outside sources. Named competitors in pumps and seals include Sulzer Pumps, Ebara Corp., John Crane Inc., Weir Group Plc., and KSB SE & Co. KGaA.

Show full overview

Flowserve's raw material exposure centers on commodity price volatility in energy, metal alloys, nickel, and certain other inputs the company sources externally. The 10-K notes that in recent years, the prices for energy, metal alloys, nickel, and certain other of its raw materials have been volatile, and that Flowserve may be unable to fully recover cost increases through customer price increases in competitive bidding environments. In April 2026, Flowserve refinanced its credit facility, entering a Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Bank of America, N.A. providing a $1,000 million revolving facility and $450 million term loan maturing April 15, 2031, extending liquidity flexibility against these ongoing cost pressures.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From Flowserve Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 4, 202797d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.0
P/E (Fwd)17.4
Mkt Cap$10.3B
EV/EBITDA15.0
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE16.9%
Rev Growth-1.6%
Beta1.25
Dividend1.24%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.92neutral
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$60-25.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 1.01MEDIUM
    Flowserve entered Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Bank of America, N.A. providing $1,000M revolving facility (maturing April 15, 2031) and $450M term loan; approximately $700M drawn at closing to refinance existing debt.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-15Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (dated October 10, 2024) terminated upon entering the new Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement on April 15, 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Lamar Duhon resigned as President of FPD effective April 10, 2026 to become CEO of a private company; Matthew Klopfer appointed President of FPD effective April 11, 2026. Chief Accounting Officer Scott Vopni also notified of retirement June 30, 2026; CFO Amy Schwetz to serve as interim if no replacement found.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Brian D. Savoy (EVP and CFO of Duke Energy) elected to Board effective March 16, 2026, filling newly created directorship. Appointed to Audit Committee and Technology, Innovation and Risk Committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.0
52w Position
7.5

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.5
Quality Rank
5.0
Value Rank
6.5
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 8.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 97d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $65.79Resistance $80.35

Price Targets

A.Upside-5.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.1% upside)
! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-04 (97d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.35, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $76.21 reached (−5.1%), stop $74.73 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLS stock price target?

Analyst target $76.21 reached (−5.1% from $80.35); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $76.21 reached (−5.1%), stop $74.73 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $74.73.

What are the risks of investing in FLS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is FLS overvalued or undervalued?

Flowserve Corporation trades at a P/E of 28.0 (forward 17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FLS?

17 analysts cover FLS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $88.

What does Flowserve Corporation do?Flowserve manufactures precision-engineered pumps, valves, mechanical seals, and automation systems through two...

Flowserve manufactures precision-engineered pumps, valves, mechanical seals, and automation systems through two segments — Flowserve Pumps Division and Flow Control Division — serving energy, chemical, power generation, and general industries globally. The company recorded $4.7 billion in total bookings in 2025 and held a $2.9 billion backlog at December 31, 2025, with aftermarket services delivered through 126 quick response centers in 48 countries.

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