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FLSFlowserve CorporationSell4.9·$75.50+2.72%
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Flowserve Corporation (FLS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. At $75.50, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.6%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Flowserve Corporation manufactures pumps, valves, seals, and automation products for energy, chemical, power generation, and general industries globally through two segments: Flowserve Pumps Division (FPD) and Flow Control Division (FCD). It generates revenue from original... Read more

$75.50+4.6% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#41 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.81%
IncomeYield1.18%(5y avg 1.95%)Payout31.25%sustainable
Stop $69.72Target $78.30(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$90.00+19.2%10 analysts
$78.30our TP
$75.50price
$90.00mean
$100

Sell if holding. At $75.50, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.6%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.6%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Weak overall score: 4.9/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.5
P/E (Fwd)16.2
Mkt Cap$9.6B
EV/EBITDA14.5
Profit Mgn7.6%
ROE17.1%
Rev Growth-6.7%
Beta1.25
Dividend1.18%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV62%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Prior Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement terminated on April 15, 2026 upon closing of new Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement providing $1B revolving facility and $450M term loan maturing April 15, 2031.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Lamar Duhon (President FPD) resigned effective April 10, 2026 to become CEO of a private company; Matthew Klopfer appointed President FPD effective April 11, 2026. Also, Chief Accounting Officer Scott Vopni retiring June 30, 2026; permanent search initiated; CFO to serve as interim CAO if needed.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Brian D. Savoy (CFO of Duke Energy) elected to Board effective March 16, 2026, filling newly created directorship. Appointed to Audit Committee and Technology, Innovation and Risk Committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -6.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.8
Earnings Growth
4.9
Declining revenue: -7%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.4
Quality Rank
4.9
Value Rank
7.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.4
Bollinger
2.7
52w Position
6.3
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $63.27Resistance $76.78

Price Targets

$70
$78
A.Upside+3.7%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $75.50, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.6%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $69.72. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $78.30 (+4.6% upside). Prior stop was $69.72. Stop-loss: $69.72.

What are the risks of investing in FLS?

Thin upside margin: 4.6%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Is FLS overvalued or undervalued?

Flowserve Corporation trades at a P/E of 27.5 (forward 16.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FLS?

17 analysts cover FLS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $90.

What does Flowserve Corporation do?Flowserve Corporation manufactures pumps, valves, seals, and automation products for energy, chemical, power...

Flowserve Corporation manufactures pumps, valves, seals, and automation products for energy, chemical, power generation, and general industries globally through two segments: Flowserve Pumps Division (FPD) and Flow Control Division (FCD). It generates revenue from original equipment sales and aftermarket services across a $2.9B backlog as of December 31, 2025.

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