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Flowserve Corporation (FLS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. At $73.35, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth.

Flowserve manufactures precision-engineered pumps, valves, seals, and automation equipment for energy, chemical, power generation, and general industrial customers globally, with approximately 16,000 employees. Revenue comes from original equipment sales and a significant... Read more

$73.35+13.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#32 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
Stop $70.02Target $83.61(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$96.10+31.0%10 analysts
$83.61our TP
$73.35price
$96.10mean
$102

Sell if holding. At $73.35, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.1
P/E (Fwd)15.8
Mkt Cap$9.4B
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn7.6%
ROE17.1%
Rev Growth-6.7%
Beta1.34
Dividend1.20%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.26bullish
IV65%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 1.02MEDIUM
    FLS terminated its prior Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement on April 15, 2026 as part of refinancing into a new $1B revolving + $450M term loan facility with Bank of America, N.A., maturing April 2031.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Lamar Duhon (President, FPD) resigned April 10, 2026 to become CEO of a privately held company. Matthew Klopfer named as FPD President effective April 11, 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Scott Vopni (Chief Accounting Officer) will retire June 30, 2026. No permanent successor named; CFO Amy Schwetz designated as interim CAO if not filled before departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Brian D. Savoy (EVP/CFO of Duke Energy) elected as new director effective March 16, 2026. Appointed to Audit Committee and Technology, Innovation and Risk Committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -6.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.8
Earnings Growth
4.9
Declining revenue: -7%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
4.8
Value Rank
7.8
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $72.19Resistance $88.38

Price Targets

$70
$84
A.Upside+14.0%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $73.35, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $70.02. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.61 (+13.5% upside). Prior stop was $70.02. Stop-loss: $70.02.

What are the risks of investing in FLS?

Weak growth.

Is FLS overvalued or undervalued?

Flowserve Corporation trades at a P/E of 27.1 (forward 15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FLS?

17 analysts cover FLS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $96.

What does Flowserve Corporation do?Flowserve manufactures precision-engineered pumps, valves, seals, and automation equipment for energy, chemical, power...

Flowserve manufactures precision-engineered pumps, valves, seals, and automation equipment for energy, chemical, power generation, and general industrial customers globally, with approximately 16,000 employees. Revenue comes from original equipment sales and a significant aftermarket services business through a global network of Quick Response Centers; backlog was $2.9B at December 31, 2025.

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