Fresh Del Monte Produce, Inc. (FDP) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Farm Products
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.00: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 6.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Fresh Del Monte is a vertically integrated producer, marketer, and distributor of fresh and fresh-cut fruit and vegetables under the Del Monte brand in 80+ countries. North America accounts for 58% of net sales, with bananas (34%), fresh-cut produce (20%), and pineapples (16%)... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.00: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 6.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-14Recent Developments — Del Monte Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Fresh Del Monte Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend for Shareholders - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail positive
- NEWS Fresh Del Monte Produce, Inc. (NYSE:FDP) Announces $0.30 Quarterly Dividend - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Assessing Fresh Del Monte Produce (FDP) Valuation After Steady Share Price Gains - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS FDP (Fresh Del) reports huge Q4 2025 EPS beat, yet shares dip 1.05 percent in today's trading. - Acquisition - Newser — Newser positive
- NEWS Cheap Stocks With Hidden Risks: Fresh Del Monte, Pediatrix, PennyMac Analysis | April 2026 - News and Statistics - Index — IndexBox negative
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicNorth America58%10-K Item 1: 'North America is our largest market, accounting for 58% of our net sales in 2025'
- MEDIUMGeographicCosta Rica sourcing34%10-K Item 1: 'Costa Rica is our most significant sourcing location representing approximately 34% of our total sales volume of fresh produce products'
- MEDIUMSupplierone grower in the Philippines10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 13% of our banana net sales in 2025 were supplied by one grower in the Philippines with whom our contract is set to expire'
- MEDIUMCustomertop 10 customers29%10-K Item 1: 'our top 10 customers accounted for approximately 29% of our net sales'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.00: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 6.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $27.29. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $44.20 (+51.7% upside). Prior stop was $27.29. Stop-loss: $27.29.
Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (58.0%); Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).
Fresh Del Monte Produce, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.1 (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
5 analysts cover FDP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $52.
What does Fresh Del Monte Produce, Inc. do?Fresh Del Monte is a vertically integrated producer, marketer, and distributor of fresh and fresh-cut fruit and...
Fresh Del Monte is a vertically integrated producer, marketer, and distributor of fresh and fresh-cut fruit and vegetables under the Del Monte brand in 80+ countries. North America accounts for 58% of net sales, with bananas (34%), fresh-cut produce (20%), and pineapples (16%) as key revenue categories. Costa Rica is its largest sourcing location, representing 34% of total fresh produce sales volume.