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EXRExtra Space Storage IncSell5.0·$148.23+2.23%
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Extra Space Storage Inc (EXR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $148.23 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.5% away).

Extra Space Storage is the largest self-storage operator in the U.S., owning/operating 4,281 stores in 43 states and Washington D.C. and managing 1,856 stores for third parties. Revenue comes from month-to-month self-storage rentals and tenant reinsurance; average same-store... Read more

$148.23-0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#12 of 15 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.19%
IncomeYield4.47%(5y avg 3.65%)Payout145.62%
Stop $141.49Target $147.39(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$153.60+3.6%20 analysts
$147.39our TP
$148.23price
$153.60mean
$140
$178

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $148.23 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.5% away)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.6
P/E (Fwd)30.2
Mkt Cap$32.0B
EV/EBITDA19.8
Profit Mgn27.1%
ROE6.8%
Rev Growth3.8%
Beta1.21
Dividend4.47%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.36bullish
IV58%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.5

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.2
Support Resistance
1.6
52w Position
9.3

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.1
Ps
4.0
Analyst Target
4.0
P Ocf
6.4
P/OCF: 17.2x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $136.69Resistance $150.40

Price Targets

$141
$147
A.Upside-0.6%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $148.23 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $141.49. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the EXR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $147.39 (-0.6% upside). Prior stop was $141.49. Stop-loss: $141.49.

What are the risks of investing in EXR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.5% away); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is EXR overvalued or undervalued?

Extra Space Storage Inc trades at a P/E of 32.6 (forward 30.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EXR?

24 analysts cover EXR with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $154.

What does Extra Space Storage Inc do?Extra Space Storage is the largest self-storage operator in the U.S., owning/operating 4,281 stores in 43 states and...

Extra Space Storage is the largest self-storage operator in the U.S., owning/operating 4,281 stores in 43 states and Washington D.C. and managing 1,856 stores for third parties. Revenue comes from month-to-month self-storage rentals and tenant reinsurance; average same-store occupancy was 93.7% in 2025.

Related stocks: TRNO (Terreno Realty Corporation) · FR (First Industrial Realty Trust, ) · NSA (National Storage Affiliates Tru) · EGP (EastGroup Properties, Inc.) · PLD (Prologis, Inc.)
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