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EXLSExlService Holdings, Inc.Hold5.7·$28.84+0.87%
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ExlService Holdings, Inc. (EXLS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Temp Headwind edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

ExlService Holdings is a global data and AI company with 65,000+ employees providing digital operations, analytics, and AI solutions to insurance, healthcare, banking, and other industries through four industry market segments. Revenue generated from long-term managed services... Read more

$28.84+25.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#10 of 34 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.76%
Stop $26.82Target $36.32(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst target$41.75+44.8%8 analysts
$36.32our TP
$28.84price
$41.75mean
$46

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 44. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.2
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn11.7%
ROE28.1%
Rev Growth13.8%
Beta0.82
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV84%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop-10 clients34%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top three, five and ten clients generated 17.8%, 23.9% and 34.0% of our revenues, respectively, in 2025.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.2
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.23Resistance $30.63

Price Targets

$27
$36
A.Upside+25.9%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXLS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 44. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $36.32 (+25.9%), stop $26.82 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.7:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EXLS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.32 (+25.9% upside). Target $36.32 (+25.9%), stop $26.82 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.7:1. Stop-loss: $26.82.

What are the risks of investing in EXLS?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is EXLS overvalued or undervalued?

ExlService Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.2 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EXLS?

16 analysts cover EXLS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $42.

What does ExlService Holdings, Inc. do?ExlService Holdings is a global data and AI company with 65,000+ employees providing digital operations, analytics, and...

ExlService Holdings is a global data and AI company with 65,000+ employees providing digital operations, analytics, and AI solutions to insurance, healthcare, banking, and other industries through four industry market segments. Revenue generated from long-term managed services and project engagements; top-10 clients = 34.0% of revenues in 2025.

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