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Exelixis, Inc. (EXEL) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Exelixis, Inc., an oncology company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of new medicines for difficult-to-treat cancers in the United States. The company offers CABOMETYX tablets for the treatment of patients with advanced renal cell carcinoma who... Read more

$42.77+3.1% upside
Score 6.1/10Target $44.11Reward/Risk 0.3:1

TrendMatrix rates Exelixis, Inc. (EXEL) as Sell with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $42.77 with +3.1% upside to the $44.11 price target. Overall score: 6.1/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 0.3:1.

Passes 3/4 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val7.4Qual8.4Grw7.0Mom6.2Sent5.0Ins2.8Peer4.9Tech4.7Risk3.96.1OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.4 in RISK_OFF)
+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Leverage penalty (D/E 9.3): -1.5
- Elevated risk factors

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)14.9
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$11.1B
EV/EBITDA10.7
Profit Mgn33.7%
ROE35.5%
Rev Growth5.6%
Beta0.41
DividendNone
Analysts27
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXEL stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Exelixis, Inc. (EXEL) as Sell with moderate confidence. Score 6.1/10.

What is the EXEL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.11 (+3.1% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $38.52.

What are the risks of investing in EXEL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.3): -1.5; Elevated risk factors.

Is EXEL overvalued or undervalued?

Exelixis, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.9 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EXEL?

27 analysts cover EXEL with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $47.

What does Exelixis, Inc. do?Exelixis, Inc., an oncology company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of new medicines for...

Exelixis, Inc., an oncology company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of new medicines for difficult-to-treat cancers in the United States. The company offers CABOMETYX tablets for the treatment of patients with advanced renal cell carcinoma who received prior anti-angiogenic therapy; and COMETRIQ capsules for the treatment of progressive and metastatic medullary thyroid cancer. Its CABOMETYX and COMETRIQ are derived from cabozantinib, an inhibitor of multiple tyrosine kinases, including MET, AXL, RET, and VEGF receptors. The company also offers COTELLIC, an inhibitor of MEK as a combination regimen to treat specific forms of advanced melanoma; and MINNEBRO, an oral non-steroidal selective blocker of the mineralocorticoid receptor for the treatment of hypertension in Japan. It develops zanzalintinib, a novel, potent oral inhibitor of kinases, including the TAM kinases, MET, and VEGF receptors; XL309, a small molecule inhibitor of USP1, a synthetic lethal target in the context of BRCA-mutated tumors; XB010, an antibody-drug conjugates (ADC) consisting of a MMAE payload conjugated to a monoclonal antibody targeting the tumor antigen 5T4; XB628, a first-in-class bispecific antibody that targets programmed cell death ligand 1and natural killer cell receptor group 2A; and XB371, a next-generation tissue factor targeting ADC with a topoisomerase inhibitor payload. It has research collaborations and license agreements with Ipsen Pharma SAS; Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Ltd.; F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd.; Catalent, Inc.; Iconic Therapeutics, Inc.; Adagene Inc.; Invenra, Inc.; Genentech, Inc.; Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; and Daiichi Sankyo Company, Limited, as well as business development activities and other collaborations. The company was formerly known as Exelixis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and changed its name to Exelixis, Inc. in February 2000. Exelixis, Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Alameda, California.

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62 NEUTRAL
20d<50d200dGOLDEN CROSSSupp $39.71Res $45.01

Price Targets

$39
$44
Upside+3.1%
Reward/Risk0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! V8: Target reached (-7.0% upside)
! ASYMMETRY:-1.0=NEGATIVE
Suitability: Moderate
Momentum 6.2>=5.0
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Risk/Reward -1.0=NEGATIVE