Skip to main content
EXCExelon CorporationSell5.2·$45.72+0.86%
Open full analysis

Exelon Corporation (EXC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.72 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4).

Exelon delivers regulated electric and natural gas service through six utilities: ComEd (northern Illinois), PECO (southeastern Pennsylvania), BGE (central Maryland), Pepco (DC/Maryland), DPL (Delaware/Maryland), and ACE (southern New Jersey), serving ~10 million customers in... Read more

$45.72-0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#23 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-6.05%
IncomeYield3.71%(5y avg 3.48%)Payout59.34%sustainable
Stop $43.77Target $45.33(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$49.33+7.9%18 analysts
$45.33our TP
$45.72price
$49.33mean
$41
$58

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.72 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.6
P/E (Fwd)14.9
Mkt Cap$46.4B
EV/EBITDA11.7
Profit Mgn11.2%
ROE9.8%
Rev Growth7.9%
Beta0.41
Dividend3.71%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.9
Revenue Growth
4.5
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $42.86Resistance $46.26

Price Targets

$44
$45
A.Upside-0.9%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.72 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $43.77. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EXC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.33 (-0.6% upside). Prior stop was $43.77. Stop-loss: $43.77.

What are the risks of investing in EXC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.

Is EXC overvalued or undervalued?

Exelon Corporation trades at a P/E of 16.6 (forward 14.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EXC?

27 analysts cover EXC with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $49.

What does Exelon Corporation do?Exelon delivers regulated electric and natural gas service through six utilities: ComEd (northern Illinois), PECO...

Exelon delivers regulated electric and natural gas service through six utilities: ComEd (northern Illinois), PECO (southeastern Pennsylvania), BGE (central Maryland), Pepco (DC/Maryland), DPL (Delaware/Maryland), and ACE (southern New Jersey), serving ~10 million customers in aggregate. Revenue earned under cost-of-service rates approved by six separate state commissions and FERC for transmission.

Related stocks: PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · PEG (Public Service Enterprise Group) · ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · DUK (Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin) · NEE (NextEra Energy, Inc.)
Home Stocks EXC

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat47d ago
MarketBeat47d agoEarnings
MarketBeat47d ago
Yahoo Finance42d ago
Yahoo Finance44d ago
Yahoo Finance49d ago
The Globe and Mail42d agoEarnings
MarketBeat42d ago
The Globe and Mail45d ago
Yahoo Finance46d ago
Benzinga17d agoAnalyst
Benzinga31d agoAnalyst
Benzinga33d agoAnalyst
Benzinga39d ago
Benzinga40d agoEarnings
Benzinga40d agoEarnings
Benzinga40d ago
Benzinga55d agoAnalyst
Benzinga56d ago
Benzinga56d agoAnalyst
Loading more...