Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $64.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Google Cloud.
Etsy operates two online marketplaces: the Etsy marketplace (10.5B GMS in 2025, 87.8% of total) connecting artisan sellers with global buyers, and Depop fashion resale (1.1B GMS, pending sale to eBay for 1.2B). Revenue comes from transaction fees, payment processing fees, and... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $64.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Google Cloud. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(4), earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierGoogle Cloud10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on Google Cloud for a substantial portion of the computing, storage, data processing, networking, and other services for the Etsy Marketplace'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $64.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Google Cloud. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $59.84. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $69.46 (+8.0% upside). Prior stop was $59.84. Stop-loss: $59.84.
Concentration risk — Supplier: Google Cloud; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Etsy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.7 (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
39 analysts cover ETSY with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $65.
What does Etsy, Inc. do?Etsy operates two online marketplaces: the Etsy marketplace (10.5B GMS in 2025, 87.8% of total) connecting artisan...
Etsy operates two online marketplaces: the Etsy marketplace (10.5B GMS in 2025, 87.8% of total) connecting artisan sellers with global buyers, and Depop fashion resale (1.1B GMS, pending sale to eBay for 1.2B). Revenue comes from transaction fees, payment processing fees, and listing fees.