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RVLVRevolve Group, Inc.Sell6.1·$22.59
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Revolve Group has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with an average positive surprise of 50%, and analysts see 43% upside to consensus targets, but a confirmed death cross in moving averages, high debt-to-equity of 6.3, and a price trading below the 200-day moving average represent meaningful near-term headwinds.

Thesis pillars

  • Large Earnings Beat Pattern↑Improving
  • High Leverage And Recovery Setup→Stable
  • Analyst Upside To Consensus Target↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Revolve Group, Inc. (RVLV) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $22.59: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium lifestyle brand and a go-to online source for discovery and inspiration, we deliver exceptional service and an engaging customer experience with a vast yet curated... Read more

$22.59+17.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#6 of 16 Internet Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.27%
Stop $21.01Analyst target $26.50(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst consensus$30.46+34.8%13 analysts
$26.50Analyst target
$22.59price
$30.46mean
$37

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $22.59: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.4
P/E (Fwd)19.9
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA15.2
Profit Mgn5.5%
ROE14.3%
Rev Growth12.4%
Beta1.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV75%elevated
Max Pain$18-22.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.8
Support Resistance
3.2
52w Position
4.3
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.40Resistance $23.64

Price Targets

$21
$27
A.Upside+17.3%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RVLV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $22.59: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Prior stop was $21.01. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RVLV stock price target?

Analyst target: $26.50 (+17.3% upside). Prior stop was $21.01. Stop-loss: $21.01.

What are the risks of investing in RVLV?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Elevated risk factors.

Is RVLV overvalued or undervalued?

Revolve Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.4 (forward 19.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RVLV?

21 analysts cover RVLV with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Revolve Group, Inc. do?REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium...

REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium lifestyle brand and a go-to online source for discovery and inspiration, we deliver exceptional service and an engaging customer experience with a vast yet curated offering totaling over 140,000 apparel and footwear styles, as well as beauty and accessories.

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