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RVLVRevolve Group, Inc.Sell5.5·$20.63+0.93%
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Revolve Group, Inc. (RVLV) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $20.63: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5; Elevated risk factors.

REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium lifestyle brand and a go-to online source for discovery and inspiration, we deliver exceptional service and an engaging customer experience with a vast yet curated... Read more

$20.63+25.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#9 of 18 Internet Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.01%
Stop $19.19Target $25.83(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$29.69+43.9%13 analysts
$25.83our TP
$20.63price
$29.69mean
$37

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $20.63: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 25%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5
Elevated risk factors
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.9
P/E (Fwd)19.3
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA13.9
Profit Mgn5.1%
ROE12.9%
Rev Growth15.6%
Beta1.65
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV89%elevated
Max Pain$18-15.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 18, 2026, the board of directors (the "Board") of Revolve Group, Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.9
Support Resistance
2.0
52w Position
3.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.3
Growth Rank
5.0
Value Rank
5.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.7>=5.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $17.98Resistance $21.29

Price Targets

$19
$26
A.Upside+25.2%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts21
Consensus3.9/5
Avg Target$30

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RVLV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $20.63: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Prior stop was $19.19. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the RVLV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.83 (+25.2% upside). Prior stop was $19.19. Stop-loss: $19.19.

What are the risks of investing in RVLV?

Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5; Elevated risk factors; Below 200-day MA.

Is RVLV overvalued or undervalued?

Revolve Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.9 (forward 19.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RVLV?

21 analysts cover RVLV with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Revolve Group, Inc. do?REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium...

REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium lifestyle brand and a go-to online source for discovery and inspiration, we deliver exceptional service and an engaging customer experience with a vast yet curated offering totaling over 140,000 apparel and footwear styles, as well as beauty and accessories.

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