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PTRNPattern Group Inc. - Series ASell6.3·$18.68-10.88%
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Pattern Group Inc. - Series A (PTRN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. At $18.68, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon (93.0%); Concentration risk — Product: health and wellness category (69.0%).

Pattern Group is an ecommerce acceleration platform that purchases inventory from 200+ brand partners and resells on 70+ global marketplaces, deriving 93% of 2025 revenue from Amazon. The health and wellness category represents 69% of inventory purchases; two brand partners in... Read more

$18.68+4.6% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#11 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.17%
Stop $17.36Target $19.53(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$22.44+20.2%9 analysts
$19.53our TP
$18.68price
$22.44mean
$26

Sell if holding. At $18.68, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon (93.0%); Concentration risk — Product: health and wellness category (69.0%). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon (93.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: health and wellness category (69.0%)
Thin upside margin: 4.6%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)30.0
Mkt Cap$4.2B
EV/EBITDA63.2
Profit Mgn0.8%
ROE4.5%
Rev Growth43.2%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV138%elevated
Max Pain$5-73.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerAmazon93%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we derived 93% of our revenue from consumer product sales on Amazon'
  • HIGHProducthealth and wellness category69%
    10-K Item 1A: 'the health and wellness category accounted for 69% of our inventory purchases'
  • HIGHSuppliertwo brand partners in health and wellness
    10-K Item 1A: 'two brand partners in the health and wellness category accounted for 17% and 17% of our inventory purchases and contributed significantly to our growth in recent periods'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-18Item 5.02LOW
    Daniel Gay resigned from the Board of Directors effective March 16, 2026, for personal reasons; not the result of any disagreement. Board reduced from 7 to 6 directors; John Bailey appointed to the Audit Committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.8
Obv
1.1
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
4.5
Volume
6.4
Volume distribution (falling OBV)
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $16.50Resistance $21.40

Price Targets

$17
$20
A.Upside+4.6%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PTRN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $18.68, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon (93.0%); Concentration risk — Product: health and wellness category (69.0%). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $17.36. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PTRN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.53 (+4.6% upside). Prior stop was $17.36. Stop-loss: $17.36.

What are the risks of investing in PTRN?

Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon (93.0%); Concentration risk — Product: health and wellness category (69.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.6%.

Is PTRN overvalued or undervalued?

Pattern Group Inc. - Series A trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 30.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PTRN?

16 analysts cover PTRN with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Pattern Group Inc. - Series A do?Pattern Group is an ecommerce acceleration platform that purchases inventory from 200+ brand partners and resells on...

Pattern Group is an ecommerce acceleration platform that purchases inventory from 200+ brand partners and resells on 70+ global marketplaces, deriving 93% of 2025 revenue from Amazon. The health and wellness category represents 69% of inventory purchases; two brand partners in that category each account for 17% of total inventory purchases.

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