Skip to main content
EQHEquitable Holdings, Inc.Sell4.2·$54.59
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Equitable Holdings screens attractively on valuation — with a forward price-to-earnings of 5.1 times and a near-zero price-to-growth ratio — and shows improving price momentum, but the business is generating deeply negative free cash flow equivalent to 82% of revenue, revenue is declining at 8% year-over-year, and three of the last four earnings reports have missed estimates, making the cheap multiple more likely a value trap than an opportunity.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Surface→Stable
  • Deep Negative Free Cash Flow→Stable
  • Persistent Earnings Miss Pattern→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Equitable Holdings, Inc. (EQH) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Earnings in 4 days (2026-11-02). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $54.59: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Equitable Holdings provides retirement, asset management, and wealth management through three franchises: Equitable (insurer), AllianceBernstein (global active asset manager), and Equitable Advisors (wealth management), with $1.1 trillion in assets under management and... Read more

$54.59+2.0% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#227 of 229 Asset Management
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-59.26%
IncomeYield2.13%(5y avg 2.34%)Payout84.62%at-risk
Stop $51.35Analyst target $55.68(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst consensus$64.00+17.2%11 analysts
$55.68Analyst target
$54.59price
$64.00mean
$68

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $54.59: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Equitable Holdings, Inc.

About Equitable Holdings, Inc.

Equitable Holdings closed 2025 with $1.1 trillion in total assets under management and administration, including $866.9 billion managed by AllianceBernstein across institutional ($354.2 billion), retail ($356.4 billion), and private wealth ($156.3 billion) channels. Total Retirement first-year premiums and deposits reached $22.4 billion, with RILA products contributing $15.4 billion, up from $11.3 billion in 2023. EQH owns an approximate 68% economic interest in AB, a publicly traded master limited partnership on the NYSE.

Equitable Holdings earns revenue across three segments. The Retirement segment anchors the business with $174.9 billion in total account value as of December 31, 2025, composed of RILA products ($81.6 billion), traditional variable annuities ($47.8 billion), and tax-exempt products ($33.3 billion). Distribution of individual annuity products runs through Equitable Advisors (38% of first-year premiums in 2025) and third-party channels (62%), with no single third-party firm exceeding 10% of sales in 2025. The Asset Management segment — AB — generated $4.59 billion in total revenues in 2025 on $826.0 billion in average AUM, with advisory fees of $3.35 billion (base) plus $185 million in performance-based fees. AB experienced net long-term outflows of $(11.3) billion in 2025, compared with $(2.2) billion in 2024, driven by active equity net outflows of $(22.5) billion partially offset by alternatives and multi-asset inflows of $10.6 billion.

Show full overview

EQH's variable annuity and guaranteed minimum benefit products create asymmetric exposure to equity market and interest rate conditions simultaneously. While GMxB features accounted for approximately 1.3% of total account value as of December 31, 2025 — limiting immediate obligation risk — the broader RILA and variable annuity base of $174.9 billion may be affected by sustained equity market weakness. The 10-K notes that equity market declines increase GMxB obligation amounts and may raise hedging costs, while rapid rate increases could accelerate surrenders and withdrawals. EQH mitigates this through derivatives programs, but counterparty failures on those instruments could leave net exposure if collateral agreements do not fully offset losses.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Equitable Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Equitable Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:20:25Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (2.0% upside)
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)6.1
Mkt Cap$14.9B
EV/EBITDA12.3
Profit Mgn-8.7%
ROE-25.1%
Rev Growth-29.8%
Beta1.09
Dividend2.13%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.80neutral
IV45%normal
Max Pain$40-26.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -29.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -30%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -8.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
7.1
Cash-burning: FCF -83% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.4
Growth Rank
0.5
Value Rank
9.5

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
1.9
Dividend Safety
2.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 4 daysYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.83Resistance $55.23

Price Targets

$51
$56
A.Upside+2.0%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EQH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $54.59: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $51.35. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EQH stock price target?

Analyst target: $55.68 (+2.0% upside). Prior stop was $51.35. Stop-loss: $51.35.

What are the risks of investing in EQH?

Target reached (2.0% upside); Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is EQH overvalued or undervalued?

Equitable Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EQH?

18 analysts cover EQH with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $64.

What does Equitable Holdings, Inc. do?Equitable Holdings provides retirement, asset management, and wealth management through three franchises: Equitable...

Equitable Holdings provides retirement, asset management, and wealth management through three franchises: Equitable (insurer), AllianceBernstein (global active asset manager), and Equitable Advisors (wealth management), with $1.1 trillion in assets under management and administration as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from fee income, investment income, and insurance premiums; AB managed $866.9 billion in AUM across institutional, retail, and private wealth channels.

Related stocks: GAB (Gabelli Equity Trust, Inc. (The) · HLNE (Hamilton Lane Incorporated) · VCTR (Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. ) · ADX (Adams Diversified Equity Fund I) · WT (WisdomTree, Inc.)
Home › Stocks › EQH

Latest news

Latest News

Fiscal.ai9d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga17d agoAnalyst
Benzinga21d agoEarnings
Benzinga22d ago
Benzinga22d agoAnalyst
Benzinga34d agoLeadership Change
Benzinga70d ago
Benzinga79d ago
Benzinga86d agoEarnings
Benzinga111d agoAnalyst
Benzinga112d ago
Benzinga113d agoAnalyst
Benzinga114d agoAnalyst
Benzinga162d ago
Benzinga170d agoLeadership Change
Benzinga178d ago
Benzinga178d agoEarnings