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EPDEnterprise Products Partners L.Buy Wait6.4·$38.06
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

With virtually no upside remaining to the near-term price target, free cash flow that has collapsed to near zero relative to earnings, and revenues in a -7% decline, the risk/reward is unfavorable — the elevated distribution yield may be masking a payout that the underlying cash generation cannot reliably support.

Thesis pillars

  • Price At Target No Upside↓Deteriorating
  • Cash Generation Collapse→Stable
  • Revenue In Decline→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Enterprise Products Partners L. (EPD) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-10-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $35.97. Price sits above the model's entry target of $35.97; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).

Enterprise Products Partners L.P. provides midstream energy services to producers and consumers of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), crude oil, petrochemicals, and refined products. It operates in four segments: NGL Pipelines & Services; Crude Oil Pipelines & Services;... Read more

$38.06-2.3% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#21 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield1.31%
IncomeYield6.03%(5y avg 6.88%)Payout76.04%
Entry $35.97(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $34.73Analyst target $37.20(reached)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst consensus$41.33+8.6%21 analysts
$38.06price
$41.33mean
$47

Wait for pullback to $35.97. Price sits above the model's entry target of $35.97; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.2
P/E (Fwd)12.0
Mkt Cap$82.2B
EV/EBITDA11.4
Profit Mgn10.8%
ROE20.9%
Rev Growth60.8%
Beta0.48
Dividend6.03%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.52bullish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$25-34.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
9.2
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 8.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
63 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.37Resistance $38.13

Price Targets

A.Upside-2.3%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.3% upside)
! Earnings today - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPD stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $35.97. Price sits above the model's entry target of $35.97; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Analyst target $37.20 reached (−2.3%), stop $34.73 (−9.6%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EPD stock price target?

Analyst target $37.20 reached (−2.3% from $38.06); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $37.20 reached (−2.3%), stop $34.73 (−9.6%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $34.73.

What are the risks of investing in EPD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is EPD overvalued or undervalued?

Enterprise Products Partners L. trades at a P/E of 13.2 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about EPD?

28 analysts cover EPD with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Enterprise Products Partners L. do?Enterprise Products Partners L.P. provides midstream energy services to producers and consumers of natural gas, natural...

Enterprise Products Partners L.P. provides midstream energy services to producers and consumers of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), crude oil, petrochemicals, and refined products. It operates in four segments: NGL Pipelines & Services; Crude Oil Pipelines & Services; Natural Gas Pipelines & Services; and Petrochemical & Refined Products Services. The NGL Pipelines & Services segment offers natural gas processing and related NGL marketing activities. This segment operates natural gas processing facilities located in Colorado, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico, Texas, and Wyoming; NGL pipelines; NGL fractionation facilities; NGL and related product storage facilities; and NGL marine terminals. The Crude Oil Pipelines & Services segment operates crude oil pipelines; and crude oil storage and marine terminals, which include a fleet of approximately 200 tractor-trailer tank trucks that are used to transport crude oil. It also engages in crude oil marketing activities. The Natural Gas Pipelines & Services segment operates natural gas pipeline systems to gather, treat, and transport natural gas. It leases underground salt dome natural gas storage facilities in Napoleonville, Louisiana; owns an underground salt dome storage cavern in Wharton County, Texas; and transports, stores, and markets natural gas. The Petrochemical & Refined Products Services segment operates propylene fractionation facilities, including propylene fractionation units and propane dehydrogenation facilities, and related marketing activities; butane isomerization complex and related deisobutanizer operations; and octane enhancement, isobutane dehydrogenation, and high purity isobutylene production facilities. It also operates refined products pipelines and terminals; and ethylene export terminals; and provides refined products marketing and marine transportation services. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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